AUROBINDO PHARMA
BSE ticker code |
524804 |
NSE ticker code |
AUROPHARMA |
Major activity |
Pharmaceuticals |
Managing Director |
N. Govindarajan |
Equity capital |
Rs. 58.59 crore; FV Rs. 01 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 1023 / Rs. 446 |
CMP |
Rs. 942.75 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 55239.36 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Flying high in US pharma market
Hyderabad-based Aurobindo Pharma is a leading Indian pharmaceutical company which earns
almost 90
per cent of its revenues from abroad, with the US leading the
list of overseas buyers and contributing almost half of the
company’s revenues. The three and a half decade-old company is engaged in the
manufacture
of generic formulations and active
pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). It
holds a strong position in the US
market, where it is the fifth largest
generic pharma company. The prospects for the company are highly
healthy, going ahead.
Consider:
-
The company can be called
an Indian multinational pharma
company going by its global sales. It
has 26 manufacturing facilities for its
API and formulations businesses, which have requisite approvals from various
regulatory authorities including the US
FDA, the UK MHRA, Japan’s PMDA, WHO, Health Canada,
MCC South Africa and ANVISA Brazil. The company has
also entered Poland and the Czech Republic with the acquisition of Apotex’s
commercial operations. It has also strengthened its US presence with the
acquisition of the dermatology and oral solid business from Sandoz. Today, the
US
accounts for half the revenues of the company and other
overseas countries for around 40 per cent. The company
has strengthened its presence in many European countries,
including France and Italy, where it ranks among the largest
generic companies.
-
Aurobindo has one of the best product approval
rates and launch pipelines in the US. Despite pricing pressures, it is one of
the few companies able to mitigate this
risk due to continuous product launches and approvals.
A sturdy product pipeline and expected traction from recently launched products
ensures a strong growth outlook
for the US business, driven by improving traction from
the generic injectables space. The European business too
is on the path to recover with demand normalising and showing
signs of improvement.
-
With a view to meeting
the rising demand for its products, the
company is expanding its capacities
by setting up a greenfield facility at
Vizag aimed at Europe and emerging
markets, and is also setting up a facility in the US aimed at US markets. The
expanded capacities are expected to
be ready within a year or so and provide ample visibility of the growth ahead.
Going ahead, the
company is looking to build a presence in the speciality segment which includes
segments of biosimilars, oncology inhalers and transdermal patches, among
others, which is likely to
support growth. Further, the company’s capacity of 450 million doses would be
ready within the next 3 to 5 months and
is likely to be operational by the end of July 2021.
-
Aurobindo plans to launch around 60 products in
the US in the current year and expects to sustain the launch
momentum into the next year as well. The new launches would
include injectables which are a key growth driver. The company has 70 assets
under development, 50 assets under review and 80 approved products, thus
pointing towards a
sturdy product pipeline which would unfold going ahead.
Successful clearance from the USFDA for its plants is awaited
as the company has submitted its responses.
-
In its programme to launch new
products, the company’s focus on
injectables to drive growth augurs well. It
has a strong product portfolio in the
injectables space, which comprises 80
-
approved products, pointing to a sturdy
product pipeline. In addition to this, the
company is also setting up a new facility
aimed at the US markets, with a focus
on high-value and low-volume products.
The new facility will also enable the company to diversify its risk related to
unit 4
as it is the only plant catering to the US
markets as of now. The new facility will
also enable the company to benefit from
local tenders, if any. Collectively, the
company is targeting revenues of around
$650-700 million over the next three
years from injectables, from around $380
million as of now.
-
Apart from injectables, the complex generics space is fast gaining traction,
that too at a time when the complex
generics market is slated to be around $20
billion over the next 3 years from $16 billion at present. Currently, the
company
has a small presence in complex generics
but it looking to enhance its presence
gradually in the segment going ahead.
Collectively, a strong overall new product
pipeline, focus on the injectables, business and a gradual improvement in the
complex generics space would be over the
next 3 to 4 years. For the US business
overall, sales are expected to clock a
double digit – 13 per cent – CAGR over
fiscal years 2021-2023. Overall the company expects to incur a capex of $200-
220 million during the next two years.
The company has been growing at
a fast pace. During the last five years, its
sales have expanded from Rs. 9323 crore
in the fiscal 2016 to Rs. 32266 crore in
the fiscal 2020 with the net profit during
this period rising from Rs. 1620 crore to
Rs. 1873 crore. During the next year we
expect an EPS of Rs. 35 per share of the
face value of Re. 1.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-19
|
11938.70
|
1529.73
|
26.10
|
250.00
|
193.70
|
19.68
|
2019-20
|
23098.51
|
2850.73
|
48.70
|
300.00
|
222.30
|
18.57
|
2020-21(E)
|
19034.00
|
3010.00
|
57.34
|
300.00
|
227.10
|
19.10
|
2021-22(E)
|
23249.19
|
3279.40
|
53.50
|
325.00
|
310.20
|
22.35
|
COCHIN SHIPYARD
BSE ticker code |
540678 |
NSE ticker code |
COCHINSHIP |
Major activity |
Shipping |
Chairman |
Madhu S. Nair |
Equity capital |
Rs. 131.34 crore; FV Rs. 10 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 426 / Rs. 218 |
CMP |
Rs. 350 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 4605 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Pole player in ship-building
Cochin Shipyard, which will celebrate its golden jubilee a year from now, is a
Government of India-owned company (the government holding 75.21 per cent equity of the
company) and the country’s largest ship-building and ship
maintenance facility. During the last 50 years, it has emerged
as a front-runner in the Indian shipbuilding and ship repair segment.
It has built platform supply vessels
and double-hulled oil tankers. Presently it is building the first indigenous aircraft
carrier for the Indian
Navy. The company is also a wellknown player on the global shipbuilding front and by
now has exported 45 ships to various commercial clients overseas. The
company’s outlook is highly promising.
Consider:
-
The company has built and repaired some of the
largest ships in India and is currently building the prestigious indigenous
aircraft carrier for the Indian Navy. Over
the years, it has successfully responded to fluctuations in
the ship-building requirements of the market and has
evolved from building bulk carriers to smaller and more
technically sophisticated vessels such as passenger vessels
and offshore support vessels. The company has worked
with several leading technology firms in the industry, including Royce Marine
(Norway), GTT (France) and Yard
Group (Norway). This has added to the credibility of the
company in the international markets. Its key ship-building clients in the
domestic space include the Indian Navy,
the Indian Coast Guard, DRDO, A&N Administration and
the JSW group. The company has also successfully undertaken repairs of various
types of vessels, including
upgradation of ships of the oil exploration industry, as well
as periodical maintenance, repair and life extension of
ships.
DEFENCE MARKET
-
The Indian ship-building industry continues to be
driven by defence requirements.
The Indian Navy is planning to increase its fleet from the present 137
to 200 by 2027. This is expected
to provide a spurt to the indigenous ship-building segment. Besides, the
Indian Navy’s
indigenisation plan is expected to
give a fillip to the growth of ancillaries and generally improve the
ship-building environment in the
country. The vision of GoI as per
the draft Defence Production Policy is to “lead the world in
the aerospace and defence industries,” with active participation of the public
and private sector, fulfilling the objective of self-reliance as well as the
demands of other friendly
countries.
-
As per the AT Kearney report on the ship repair
industry, though India’s share in global ship repair is less
than 1%, the country’s location is favourable with 7-9% of
global trade passing within 300 nautical miles of the coastline.
-
As per the AT Kearny report, India has a market
potential of Rs 2,600 crore from repairs to the domestic fleet,
of which only a 15% share is currently captured. The report
has further highlighted that India can grow its ship repair industry to Rs
9,000 crore in the next 10 years through infrastructure and process
improvement. The report has highlighted
low levels of process efficiency, lack of infrastructure to service vessels
above 10,000 DWT and a weak ancillary landscape as road blocks for
developing the industry.
A key recommendation
of the report was to lease
out the repair facilities at major ports to specialists to augment revenue
opportunities.
MoUs WITH CENTRE
-
In line with the above recommendation, one of the major initiatives
under the Government of India’s
‘Sagarmala’ project was to lease out the
ship repair facilities available at the major ports to specialists to generate
more
revenue and create a positive ship repair
industry climate. Based on this, CSL was
offered the first opportunity for ship repair operations and management of the
Indira Dock on January 18, 2019. CSL
has also signed an MoU with Kolkata Port
Trust to take over their Netaji Subhas
Dock on lease.
-
In November 2019, CSL entered into an agreement with the
Andaman and Nicobar administration to
commence its operations at Marine
Dockyard, Port Blair, a facility that is
currently being operated directly by the
A&N administration. These initiatives
would help better utilisation of existing
ship repair facilities in the country and
are likely to positively impact the
company’s revenue. CSL has already
delivered 500 passenger vessels to the
A&N administration. All the above initiatives have given CSL a pan-India
presence and the company now undertakes
ship repairs at 5 locations — Mumbai,
Kolkata, Port Blair, Hooghly and its existing dock at Kochi.
-
Cochin Shipyard is in the process of setting up a new dry dock at Kochi
at a cost of Rs 1,799 crore, to be commissioned by 2022. Construction of the
new dry dock commenced in 2018 and
is currently progressing well. The new dry
dock, measuring 310 x 75/60 x 13 m,
with a 600T Ganty crane, will be capable of handling vessels upto Suezmax,
aircraft carriers of 75,000 tonne displacement, jack-up rigs, LNG vessels, etc.
The
company has spent around Rs 500 crore
on this project so far.
-
The company is also building
an International Ship Repair Facility
(ISRF) at a cost of Rs 970 crore, to be
commissioned within a year. CSL will set
up a ship lift system measuring 130 m x
25 m with a lifting capacity of 6,000
tonnes and 6 workstations. The facility
can repair up to 85 vessels, and CSL will
thereby be almost doubling the number
of ships that can be repaired per year.
-
The company is also setting up
a modern ship-building facility at
Nazirgunge in West Bengal at a cost of
Rs 170 crore. The facility is being set up
by the company’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Hooghly Cochin Shipyard, which
aims to construct various types of vessels like RO-RO vessels, cargo vessels
for
bulk, liquids and containers, passenger
vessels and other watercraft for the fastgrowing inland waterways. This
facility
is expected to be completed in the first
half of fiscal 2022.
-
The company has inked a pact
with Dredging Corporation and IHC Holland BV to locally build world-class
dredgers in India. Currently, the country
depends on foreign dredging work worth
Rs 2,000 crore per year. CSL will also
invest in the equity capital of the
Vishakhapatnam-based DCL.
All these developments augur well for
CSL, which has gone from strength to
strength during the last five years. With revenues expanding from Rs 1,995 crore in
fiscal 2016 to Rs 3,422 crore in fiscal 2020,
the company’s net profit zoomed from Rs
276 crore to Rs 638 crore during this period. Of course, during fiscal 2021, its
performance was hit on account of the pandemic. But from the next year, the company
will be back on the growth path.
CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-19
|
2962.16
|
481.18
|
36.60
|
130.00
|
253.30
|
15.02
|
2019-20
|
3422.49
|
630.29
|
47.90
|
166.00
|
281.60
|
17.88
|
2020-21(E)
|
2500.00
|
510.00
|
38.25
|
130.00
|
260.10
|
14.50
|
2021-22(E)
|
4000.00
|
695.00
|
45.00
|
170.00
|
29.10
|
19.20
|
NAVA BHARAT VENTURES
BSE ticker code |
513023 |
NSE ticker code |
NBVENTURES |
Major activity |
Electric Utilities |
Managing Director |
P. Trivikrama Prasad |
Equity capital |
Rs. 35.26 crore; FV Rs. 02 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 79 / Rs 33 |
CMP |
Rs. 27.45 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 1134 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Multiple products, safe bet
Nava Bharat Ventures is a well-diversified, multilocational Indian multinational
company. It is engaged in the
businesses of power generation, ferro alloys, sugar, mining
activities, bio-fuels, healthcare and agri-business. It operates in India (Andhra
Pradesh, Telangana, Odisha, MP), South
East Asia (Malaysia, Singapore) and Africa (Zambia). The
company, being a multi-product
player, is a safe investment with
good chances of high appreciation.
Consider:
-
The company’s businesses are steadily growing. It is
an established player in the field
of ferro alloys, with an annual
manufacturing capacity of
200,000 tonnes per annum. Prospects for ferro alloys have improved
substantially as the
ferrochromium market has of late
witnessed significant growth due to rising demand from
the chemicals and steel industries. Moreover, the increasing research and
development activities provide a huge
market opportunity for key players like Nava Bharat Ventures operating in the
ferrochromium market. After a prolonged dull period, the steel industry is fast
coming into
its own and this augurs well for ferrochromium manufacturers like Nava Bharat.
The company has entered into a five-year (December 2020 to March 2025)
agreement with Tata Steel
Mining, the wholly owned subsidiary of Tata Steel, for conversion of high
carbon ferrochrome. The agreement postulates that the entire smelting capacity
of the Odisha plant
will be dedicated to Tata Steel Mining to produce up to
70,000 tonnes of high carbon ferrochrome per annum. The
arrangement will provide long-term operational stability for
the ferro alloy plant and associated captive power plant in
Odisha. This augurs well for Nava Bharat to grow steadily
going ahead.
-
Besides ferro alloys, the other major business activity of the company is power
generation in India (Andhra
Pradesh, Odisha) as well as in Zambia, where the
company’s subsidiary Maamba Collieries, Zambia’s larget
coalmine concessionaire, has developed a 300 MW power plant in
partnership with the government
of Zambia. However, while the
Odisha power plant was facing
metering and connectivity issues,
the Zambia plant faced teething
troubles before being commissioned. The Telangana plant had
to be closed down in fiscal 2021.
But in the first quarter of fiscal
2022, the long-pending metering
issue has been settled and power
generation has resumed. Likewise,
the Zambian plant has been ready to go on stream as the
necessary parts for replacement have been procured and
the teething troubles are over. Thus, the power business
will start contributing much more to the topline as well as
the bottomline.
-
As the company is a well-diversified entity, its
overall performance has been quite satisfactory. During
the last five years, its revenues have advanced from Rs
989.27 crore in fiscal 2016 to Rs 1,080 crore in fiscal
2020, with the profit at net level rising from Rs 111.22
crore to Rs 128.56 crore during this period. With minor
operational problems of some power plants over, and the
agreement with the Tata Steel group for its Odisha mine,
prospects going ahead are all the more encouraging. Despite the pandemic, the
company has put up a highly satisfactory performance in Q3FY21, with
consolidated total income amounting to Rs 709.90 crore, suggesting a
28.16 per cent improvement over Rs 554 crore in the corresponding quarter a
year ago, and a
net profit of Rs 162 crore showing a 168
per cent spurt over the corresponding
quarter a year ago.
The company’s shares are available
around Rs 70.75. Investors who buy these
shares with a long-term perspective will
benefit substantially.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-19
|
1358.71
|
166.19
|
9.30
|
75.00
|
162.80
|
5.99
|
2019-20
|
1079.89
|
468.75
|
28.70
|
75.00
|
262.90
|
11.82
|
2020-21(E)
|
820.00
|
125.00
|
8.10
|
50.00
|
170.10
|
8.60
|
2021-22(E)
|
1100.00
|
175.00
|
12.40
|
60.00
|
210.50
|
10.35
|