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Published: Aug 29, 2019
Updated: Aug 29, 2019

AUROBINDO PHARMA
BSE ticker code 524804
NSE ticker code AUROPHARMA
Major activity Pharmaceuticals
Managing Director N. Govindarajan
Equity capital Rs. 58.59 crore; FV Rs. 01
52 week high/low Rs. 1023 / Rs. 446
CMP Rs. 942.75
Market Capitalisation Rs. 55239.36 crore
Recommendation Buy at declines
Flying high in US pharma market

Hyderabad-based Aurobindo Pharma is a leading Indian pharmaceutical company which earns almost 90 per cent of its revenues from abroad, with the US leading the list of overseas buyers and contributing almost half of the company’s revenues. The three and a half decade-old company is engaged in the manufacture of generic formulations and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). It holds a strong position in the US market, where it is the fifth largest generic pharma company. The prospects for the company are highly healthy, going ahead.

Consider:

  • The company can be called an Indian multinational pharma company going by its global sales. It has 26 manufacturing facilities for its API and formulations businesses, which have requisite approvals from various regulatory authorities including the US FDA, the UK MHRA, Japan’s PMDA, WHO, Health Canada, MCC South Africa and ANVISA Brazil. The company has also entered Poland and the Czech Republic with the acquisition of Apotex’s commercial operations. It has also strengthened its US presence with the acquisition of the dermatology and oral solid business from Sandoz. Today, the US accounts for half the revenues of the company and other overseas countries for around 40 per cent. The company has strengthened its presence in many European countries, including France and Italy, where it ranks among the largest generic companies.
  • Aurobindo has one of the best product approval rates and launch pipelines in the US. Despite pricing pressures, it is one of the few companies able to mitigate this risk due to continuous product launches and approvals. A sturdy product pipeline and expected traction from recently launched products ensures a strong growth outlook for the US business, driven by improving traction from the generic injectables space. The European business too is on the path to recover with demand normalising and showing signs of improvement.
  • With a view to meeting the rising demand for its products, the company is expanding its capacities by setting up a greenfield facility at Vizag aimed at Europe and emerging markets, and is also setting up a facility in the US aimed at US markets. The expanded capacities are expected to be ready within a year or so and provide ample visibility of the growth ahead. Going ahead, the company is looking to build a presence in the speciality segment which includes segments of biosimilars, oncology inhalers and transdermal patches, among others, which is likely to support growth. Further, the company’s capacity of 450 million doses would be ready within the next 3 to 5 months and is likely to be operational by the end of July 2021.
  • Aurobindo plans to launch around 60 products in the US in the current year and expects to sustain the launch momentum into the next year as well. The new launches would include injectables which are a key growth driver. The company has 70 assets under development, 50 assets under review and 80 approved products, thus pointing towards a sturdy product pipeline which would unfold going ahead. Successful clearance from the USFDA for its plants is awaited as the company has submitted its responses.
  • In its programme to launch new products, the company’s focus on injectables to drive growth augurs well. It has a strong product portfolio in the injectables space, which comprises 80
  • approved products, pointing to a sturdy product pipeline. In addition to this, the company is also setting up a new facility aimed at the US markets, with a focus on high-value and low-volume products. The new facility will also enable the company to diversify its risk related to unit 4 as it is the only plant catering to the US markets as of now. The new facility will also enable the company to benefit from local tenders, if any. Collectively, the company is targeting revenues of around $650-700 million over the next three years from injectables, from around $380 million as of now.
  • Apart from injectables, the complex generics space is fast gaining traction, that too at a time when the complex generics market is slated to be around $20 billion over the next 3 years from $16 billion at present. Currently, the company has a small presence in complex generics but it looking to enhance its presence gradually in the segment going ahead. Collectively, a strong overall new product pipeline, focus on the injectables, business and a gradual improvement in the complex generics space would be over the next 3 to 4 years. For the US business overall, sales are expected to clock a double digit – 13 per cent – CAGR over fiscal years 2021-2023. Overall the company expects to incur a capex of $200- 220 million during the next two years.

The company has been growing at a fast pace. During the last five years, its sales have expanded from Rs. 9323 crore in the fiscal 2016 to Rs. 32266 crore in the fiscal 2020 with the net profit during this period rising from Rs. 1620 crore to Rs. 1873 crore. During the next year we expect an EPS of Rs. 35 per share of the face value of Re. 1.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2018-19 11938.70 1529.73 26.10 250.00 193.70 19.68
2019-20 23098.51 2850.73 48.70 300.00 222.30 18.57
2020-21(E) 19034.00 3010.00 57.34 300.00 227.10 19.10
2021-22(E) 23249.19 3279.40 53.50 325.00 310.20 22.35
COCHIN SHIPYARD
BSE ticker code 540678
NSE ticker code COCHINSHIP
Major activity Shipping
Chairman Madhu S. Nair
Equity capital Rs. 131.34 crore; FV Rs. 10
52 week high/low Rs. 426 / Rs. 218
CMP Rs. 350
Market Capitalisation Rs. 4605 crore
Recommendation Buy at declines
Pole player in ship-building

Cochin Shipyard, which will celebrate its golden jubilee a year from now, is a Government of India-owned company (the government holding 75.21 per cent equity of the company) and the country’s largest ship-building and ship maintenance facility. During the last 50 years, it has emerged as a front-runner in the Indian shipbuilding and ship repair segment. It has built platform supply vessels and double-hulled oil tankers. Presently it is building the first indigenous aircraft carrier for the Indian Navy. The company is also a wellknown player on the global shipbuilding front and by now has exported 45 ships to various commercial clients overseas. The company’s outlook is highly promising.

Consider:

  • The company has built and repaired some of the largest ships in India and is currently building the prestigious indigenous aircraft carrier for the Indian Navy. Over the years, it has successfully responded to fluctuations in the ship-building requirements of the market and has evolved from building bulk carriers to smaller and more technically sophisticated vessels such as passenger vessels and offshore support vessels. The company has worked with several leading technology firms in the industry, including Royce Marine (Norway), GTT (France) and Yard Group (Norway). This has added to the credibility of the company in the international markets. Its key ship-building clients in the domestic space include the Indian Navy, the Indian Coast Guard, DRDO, A&N Administration and the JSW group. The company has also successfully undertaken repairs of various types of vessels, including upgradation of ships of the oil exploration industry, as well as periodical maintenance, repair and life extension of ships.
  • DEFENCE MARKET
  • The Indian ship-building industry continues to be driven by defence requirements. The Indian Navy is planning to increase its fleet from the present 137 to 200 by 2027. This is expected to provide a spurt to the indigenous ship-building segment. Besides, the Indian Navy’s indigenisation plan is expected to give a fillip to the growth of ancillaries and generally improve the ship-building environment in the country. The vision of GoI as per the draft Defence Production Policy is to “lead the world in the aerospace and defence industries,” with active participation of the public and private sector, fulfilling the objective of self-reliance as well as the demands of other friendly countries.
  • As per the AT Kearney report on the ship repair industry, though India’s share in global ship repair is less than 1%, the country’s location is favourable with 7-9% of global trade passing within 300 nautical miles of the coastline.
  • As per the AT Kearny report, India has a market potential of Rs 2,600 crore from repairs to the domestic fleet, of which only a 15% share is currently captured. The report has further highlighted that India can grow its ship repair industry to Rs 9,000 crore in the next 10 years through infrastructure and process improvement. The report has highlighted low levels of process efficiency, lack of infrastructure to service vessels above 10,000 DWT and a weak ancillary landscape as road blocks for developing the industry. A key recommendation of the report was to lease out the repair facilities at major ports to specialists to augment revenue opportunities.
  • MoUs WITH CENTRE
  • In line with the above recommendation, one of the major initiatives under the Government of India’s ‘Sagarmala’ project was to lease out the ship repair facilities available at the major ports to specialists to generate more revenue and create a positive ship repair industry climate. Based on this, CSL was offered the first opportunity for ship repair operations and management of the Indira Dock on January 18, 2019. CSL has also signed an MoU with Kolkata Port Trust to take over their Netaji Subhas Dock on lease.
  • In November 2019, CSL entered into an agreement with the Andaman and Nicobar administration to commence its operations at Marine Dockyard, Port Blair, a facility that is currently being operated directly by the A&N administration. These initiatives would help better utilisation of existing ship repair facilities in the country and are likely to positively impact the company’s revenue. CSL has already delivered 500 passenger vessels to the A&N administration. All the above initiatives have given CSL a pan-India presence and the company now undertakes ship repairs at 5 locations — Mumbai, Kolkata, Port Blair, Hooghly and its existing dock at Kochi.
  • Cochin Shipyard is in the process of setting up a new dry dock at Kochi at a cost of Rs 1,799 crore, to be commissioned by 2022. Construction of the new dry dock commenced in 2018 and is currently progressing well. The new dry dock, measuring 310 x 75/60 x 13 m, with a 600T Ganty crane, will be capable of handling vessels upto Suezmax, aircraft carriers of 75,000 tonne displacement, jack-up rigs, LNG vessels, etc. The company has spent around Rs 500 crore on this project so far.
  • The company is also building an International Ship Repair Facility (ISRF) at a cost of Rs 970 crore, to be commissioned within a year. CSL will set up a ship lift system measuring 130 m x 25 m with a lifting capacity of 6,000 tonnes and 6 workstations. The facility can repair up to 85 vessels, and CSL will thereby be almost doubling the number of ships that can be repaired per year.
  • The company is also setting up a modern ship-building facility at Nazirgunge in West Bengal at a cost of Rs 170 crore. The facility is being set up by the company’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Hooghly Cochin Shipyard, which aims to construct various types of vessels like RO-RO vessels, cargo vessels for bulk, liquids and containers, passenger vessels and other watercraft for the fastgrowing inland waterways. This facility is expected to be completed in the first half of fiscal 2022.
  • The company has inked a pact with Dredging Corporation and IHC Holland BV to locally build world-class dredgers in India. Currently, the country depends on foreign dredging work worth Rs 2,000 crore per year. CSL will also invest in the equity capital of the Vishakhapatnam-based DCL.

All these developments augur well for CSL, which has gone from strength to strength during the last five years. With revenues expanding from Rs 1,995 crore in fiscal 2016 to Rs 3,422 crore in fiscal 2020, the company’s net profit zoomed from Rs 276 crore to Rs 638 crore during this period. Of course, during fiscal 2021, its performance was hit on account of the pandemic. But from the next year, the company will be back on the growth path.

CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2018-19 2962.16 481.18 36.60 130.00 253.30 15.02
2019-20 3422.49 630.29 47.90 166.00 281.60 17.88
2020-21(E) 2500.00 510.00 38.25 130.00 260.10 14.50
2021-22(E) 4000.00 695.00 45.00 170.00 29.10 19.20
NAVA BHARAT VENTURES
BSE ticker code 513023
NSE ticker code NBVENTURES
Major activity Electric Utilities
Managing Director P. Trivikrama Prasad
Equity capital Rs. 35.26 crore; FV Rs. 02
52 week high/low Rs. 79 / Rs 33
CMP Rs. 27.45
Market Capitalisation Rs. 1134 crore
Recommendation Buy at declines
Multiple products, safe bet

Nava Bharat Ventures is a well-diversified, multilocational Indian multinational company. It is engaged in the businesses of power generation, ferro alloys, sugar, mining activities, bio-fuels, healthcare and agri-business. It operates in India (Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Odisha, MP), South East Asia (Malaysia, Singapore) and Africa (Zambia). The company, being a multi-product player, is a safe investment with good chances of high appreciation.

Consider:

  • The company’s businesses are steadily growing. It is an established player in the field of ferro alloys, with an annual manufacturing capacity of 200,000 tonnes per annum. Prospects for ferro alloys have improved substantially as the ferrochromium market has of late witnessed significant growth due to rising demand from the chemicals and steel industries. Moreover, the increasing research and development activities provide a huge market opportunity for key players like Nava Bharat Ventures operating in the ferrochromium market. After a prolonged dull period, the steel industry is fast coming into its own and this augurs well for ferrochromium manufacturers like Nava Bharat. The company has entered into a five-year (December 2020 to March 2025) agreement with Tata Steel Mining, the wholly owned subsidiary of Tata Steel, for conversion of high carbon ferrochrome. The agreement postulates that the entire smelting capacity of the Odisha plant will be dedicated to Tata Steel Mining to produce up to 70,000 tonnes of high carbon ferrochrome per annum. The arrangement will provide long-term operational stability for the ferro alloy plant and associated captive power plant in Odisha. This augurs well for Nava Bharat to grow steadily going ahead.
  • Besides ferro alloys, the other major business activity of the company is power generation in India (Andhra Pradesh, Odisha) as well as in Zambia, where the company’s subsidiary Maamba Collieries, Zambia’s larget coalmine concessionaire, has developed a 300 MW power plant in partnership with the government of Zambia. However, while the Odisha power plant was facing metering and connectivity issues, the Zambia plant faced teething troubles before being commissioned. The Telangana plant had to be closed down in fiscal 2021. But in the first quarter of fiscal 2022, the long-pending metering issue has been settled and power generation has resumed. Likewise, the Zambian plant has been ready to go on stream as the necessary parts for replacement have been procured and the teething troubles are over. Thus, the power business will start contributing much more to the topline as well as the bottomline.
  • As the company is a well-diversified entity, its overall performance has been quite satisfactory. During the last five years, its revenues have advanced from Rs 989.27 crore in fiscal 2016 to Rs 1,080 crore in fiscal 2020, with the profit at net level rising from Rs 111.22 crore to Rs 128.56 crore during this period. With minor operational problems of some power plants over, and the agreement with the Tata Steel group for its Odisha mine, prospects going ahead are all the more encouraging. Despite the pandemic, the company has put up a highly satisfactory performance in Q3FY21, with consolidated total income amounting to Rs 709.90 crore, suggesting a 28.16 per cent improvement over Rs 554 crore in the corresponding quarter a year ago, and a net profit of Rs 162 crore showing a 168 per cent spurt over the corresponding quarter a year ago.

The company’s shares are available around Rs 70.75. Investors who buy these shares with a long-term perspective will benefit substantially.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2018-19 1358.71 166.19 9.30 75.00 162.80 5.99
2019-20 1079.89 468.75 28.70 75.00 262.90 11.82
2020-21(E) 820.00 125.00 8.10 50.00 170.10 8.60
2021-22(E) 1100.00 175.00 12.40 60.00 210.50 10.35

February 15, 2025 - First Issue

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February 01-15, 2025

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