Editorial     

Vehicle scrap law, win-win for all

New Delhi has finally greenlighted the much-awaited vehicle scrapping policy. After the announcement of the government’s intention in the Union budget speech by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, Transport Minister Nitin Gadkari recently launched the policy aimed at phasing out unfit and polluting vehicles in an environment-friendly manner. According to the tentative schedule, in October 2021 the rules for fitness scrapping centres will be released, on April 1, 2022 fitness testing for government and PSU. Vehicles will be undertaken, on April 1, 2023, fitness testing for heavy commercial vehicles will be performed, and on June 1, 2024, fitness test rules will be rolled out for other vehicles.

According to the Union Ministry for Road Transport and Highways, the policy will give a 30 per cent boost to the Indian automobile industry, from the current Rs 4.5 lakh crore turnover to Rs 10 crore over the coming years, with the export component shooting up from Rs 1.45 lakh crore at present to Rs 3 lakh crore. Again, the availability of scrap material such as steel, plastic, rubber and aluminium will increase, which can be used in manufacturing automobile parts which, in turn, can reduce costs by 30 to 40 per cent. Also, the policy can go a long way in promoting new technologies with better vehicle mileage, besides promoting green fuel and electric mobility. At the same time, it can also decrease the country’s huge Rs 10 lakh crore crude oil import bill. What is more, the move can attract new investments of around Rs 10,000 crore and create as many as 35,000 lobs.

According to the policy, private vehicles will be deregistered after 20 years if found unfit or in case of failure to renew registration. From the date of original registration, enhanced re-registering will be applicable on private vehicles from the 15th year. Vehicles belonging to the Central government, state governments, municipal corporations, panchayats, state transport undertakings, public school undertakings and autonomous bodies with the Union and state governments may be deregistered and scrapped after 15 years from the date of registration.

While vehicle scrapping will be voluntary, the policy makes it clear that it is mandatory for all vehicles to undergo a fitness test once their registration cycle is over. If a vehicle fails the fitness test, it will not be issued a renewable certificate. All unfit vehicles will have to be mandatorily scrapped.

In order to make the policy successful, the government plans to offer tax concessions and incentives. But it should be realised that the task, though very important, is a gigantic one. There are over 17 lakh medium and heavy commercial vehicles in the country that are older than 15 years without any valid fitness certificates, 51 lakh light motor vehicles older than 20 years and 34 lakh light motor vehicles older than 15 years.

In order to make the policy workable, the government will have to make finance for new vehicles available to needy people besides opening automated fitness centres and vehicle scrappage centres across the country.

The new policy will undoubtedly prove to be a boon for the automobile industry which is passing through a recessionary phase of late. Demand for new vehicles will encourage the industry to bring out new models. At the same time, it will reduce pollution, fulfilling India’s climate commitments, improving road and vehicular safety, improving fuel efficiency and increasing the availability of low-cost raw materials for the auto, steel and electronics industries. At the same time, the government will have to pay serious attention to two issues, viz., concessions to the second-hand vehicle market and funding for needy people like lorry owners and taxi drivers.

written by

Deven Malkan

Cover story     

India @ 75: Tryst With $5 Billion Economy

How far has India come in the 75 years since it threw off its colonial shackles and stepped onto the highway of freedom and the attendant obligations of self-development and self-reliance? The answers may vary, depending on what aspect of the country’s economy and society one focuses on.

Corporate Grapevine         

Piramal: One foot in Tata camp, one in Ambani’s

The appointment of Ajay Piramal on the Tata Sons board has raised some eyebrows as well as some issues. With the acquisition of DHFL by Ajay Piramal, all eyes are on his association with the Tatas.

Goyal silenced by Tata-loving PM

The recent unexpected broadside by Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal at the Tata group has taken the entire political world by surprise. The Tata group has good relations with Prime Minister Narendra Modi ever since Tata Motors was thrown out of West Bengal by Mamata Banerjee.

Crash landing for Spice, GoAir?

Thanks to the continuous lockdowns in the country since March last year, at least two airlines, GoAir and Spice Jet, need urgent cash infusions. While GoAir will need $500 million to stay afloat, Spice will need urgent cash to give salaries to its employees.

Will Maharashtra politics dance to BJP-Adani tune?

The Shiv Sena has taken an aggressive stand on the Adani group after the latter took over the Mumbai airport. In a show of strength recently, Shiv Sena activists vandalised all the signages referring to ‘Adani Airport’.

Analysis     

Good show, but on low base

India Inc has started the new fiscal year 2022 on a highly encouraging note. According to a study by CARE Ratings, corporate performance as represented by a sample of 3,008 companies reveals that there was a sharp increase in net sales and net profits mainly due to the base effects. Growth rates get moderated significantly when aggregates are compared over 2019.

Economy     

IIP still in recovery mode

The IIP, measuring industrial output, moderated to 13.6% in June 2021 compared with 28.6% in May 2021 and degrowth of 16.6% in June 2020. CARE Ratings has estimated IIP growth at 19% during the month. This moderation can be ascribed to both the weakening of the base effect as well as lower levels of industrial activity across states amid the restrictions of June 2021.

Captains Speak     

ISGEC Heavy Engineering: Aiming for Rs 10,000 crore revenue in 3 years

Maintaining that “our company is aiming at achieving Rs 10,000 crore revenues in the next three years,” Aditya Puri, Managing Director of ISGEC Heavy Engineering, adds, “We are a heavy engineering company engaged in the manufacture of process plant equipment, presses, and iron and steel castings.

Expert Opinion     

Corona can still nix markets

India’s markets have been making and breaking new lifetime highs for the past few days, mirroring global indices as they rose to new peaks. After the US Fed minutes showed a likely tapering, July 2021 retail sales in the US were below expectations. China reported sub-par growth rates for July 2021. Further, the first two weeks of August 2021 were quite sluggish for developed countries.

Looking Glass     

Retail Inflation: Crude prices stoking inflation

The pace of headline inflation (CPI) eased to a three-month low in July 2021 at 5.59% against 6.26% in June 2021, bringing it back within the RBI’s tolerance band of 2-6%. The provisional number for retail inflation is in line with CARE Ratings’ projection of 5.5%. The easing of supply chain disruptions and improved mobility have led to the moderation in retail prices.

News & Events     

Moving spirit behind global ISKCON

Srila Prabhupada had a dream of building a ‘house’ where the whole world could live together. He wanted to guide the human race with the true spiritual knowledge of India. For millennia, the teachings and the rich culture of bhakti-yoga, or Krishna Consciousness, had been hidden within the borders of India.

Market Winds         

VIP Industries
(BSE Code 507880)

An equity research outfit of a leading bank is bullish on VIP Industries, a leading manufacturer of various types of luggage, backpacks and handbags, as the company has been doing very well even during the pandemic period and is most likely to do much better once the pandemic ends. During Q1 of fiscal 2022 (April to June 2021), the company has performed exceedingly well, viewed in the context of the Covid19 situation. With sales turnover shooting up by 411 per cent to Rs 206.2 crore, the company has registered a gross margin of a healthy 51 per cent (against 42 per cent in the corresponding quarter a year ago).

Advanced Enzyme Technologies
(BSE Code 540025)

A veteran HNI (high networth investor) is steadily accumulating Advanced Enzyme Technologies (AET), which is a focused research-driven Indian enzymes company with products developed from 68 indigenous enzymes and probiotics. The company, which has seven manufacturing and six R&D facilities consisting of three integrated fermentations, recovery and formulation facilities, one extraction and recovery facility and one satellite blending, mixing and formulation facility, is doing very well on the financial front also.

Motherson Sumi
(BSE Code 517334)

A senior FPI investment manager believes that Motherson Sumi is a very good buy around the current price range of Rs 200-225. According to him, the investing public should not get disturbed by the adverse impact of the pandemic as the auto component manufacturer with key product lines of wiring harness, vision systems (mirrors) and plastic body parts will soon recover lost ground and move ahead.

Ambuja Cement
(BSE Code 500425)

The dean of an institute teaching trading techniques in stock markets favours investment in Ambuja Cement, a lead- August 31, 2021 Corporate India 17 ing cement company which is riding on an ambitious expansion programme. The company has chalked out a plan for jacking up its manufacturing capacity from the current level of 29.7 million tonnes to 50 million tonnes.

Poonawala FinCorp
(BSE Code 524000)

A Pune-based former stock broker and a financial expert advises not to worry about the lower than expected performance of Poonawala FinCorp, formerly which was known as Magma FinCorp and now acquired by th Cyrus Poonawala group, for fiscal 2021. The profit during the last quarter of the year was Rs 64.50 crore, almost 15 per cent lower than the expected level on account of lower NII (net NIMs) and a modest surge in gross NPAs as lock-downs affected collection efficiency.

Power Finance Corporation
(BSE Code 532810)

Research analysts of an academically sound and analytically strong research wing of a brokerage house favours investment in Power Finance Corporation for short-term as well as medium term. They insist with a long term perspective, the company will have to find out new avenues of growth.

Portfolio Choice         

DIXON TECHNOLOGIES - Riding electronics services demand

Dixon Technologies is India’s home-grown, leading electronics manufacturing services provider. Having started manufacturing colour televisions in 1994, it has continuously expanded its product range and today it provides design-focused solutions in consumer durables, home appliances, lighting, mobile phones and security services to customers across the globe, along with repairing and refurbishing services of a wide range of products, including set top boxes, mobiles phones and LED TV panels. Prospects for the company are highly promising.

KNR CONSTRUCTION - Overflowing EPC order book!

Promoted in 1995 by Narasimha Reddy, who has a rich experience of 50 years in infrastructure development, the company is a unique provider of engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) services. It is engaged in the fast-growing sector of roads and highways, and has an established presence in irrigation and urban water infrastructure management. It is known for its industry-leading operating margin (standing around 20 per cent in recent years), best-in-class working capital cycle, a robust order book (Rs 11,400 crore as on March 31, 2021) and efficient and timely execution of projects.

SOUTH INDIAN BANK - Regrowth with new focus

South Indian Bank, a small bank headquartered at Thrissur in Kerala, has been facing unfavourable head winds on account of the Covid-19 pandemic. The bank, with 924 branches spread throughout the country, 4 service branches, 53 extension counters, 20 regional offices, 1,500 ATMs and 91 cash deposit machines, has put up a highly disappointing performance during the pandemic year ended March 2021, with a steep fall in income and earnings.

February 15, 2025 - First Issue

Industry Review

VOL XVI - 10
February 01-15, 2025

Formerly Fortune India Managing Editor Deven Malkan Assistant Editor A.K. Batha President Bhupendra Shah Circulation Executive Warren Sequeira Art Director Prakash S. Acharekar Graphic Designer Madhukar Thakur Investment Analysis CI Research Bureau Anvicon Research DD Research Bureau Manager (Special Projects) Bhagwan Bhosale Editorial Associates New Delhi Ranjana Arora Bureau Chief Kolkata Anirbahn Chawdhory Gujarat Pranav Brahmbhatt Bureau Cheif Mobile: 098251-49108 Bangalore Jaya Padmanabhan Bureau Chief Chennai S Gururajan Bureau Chief (Tamil Nadu) Ludhiana Ajitkumar Vijh Bhubaneshwar Braja Bandhu Behera

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