TECH MAHINDRA
BSE ticker code |
532755 |
NSE ticker code |
TECHM |
Major activity |
IT Consulting & Software |
Managing Director |
Anand Mahindra |
Equity capital |
Rs. 436.2 crore; FV Rs. 5 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 950 / Rs. 470 |
CMP |
Rs. 933 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 81394.92 crore |
Recommendation |
Accumulate at declines |
Ready to capitalise on 5G rollout
Tech Mahindra, now part of the Mahindra group, is engaged in providing Information
Technology and related services. The company is a specialist in digital transformation,
consulting and business re-engineering services. The company has been a specialist
provider of connected solutions
and has been investing in competencies required for a digital
enterprise. It has made significant investments in services areas like IoT,
Cloud, Microservices, Artificial Intelligence, Automation, Blockchain and
Cyber Security Services. This is an
excellent investment pick.
Consider:
-
Currently, the company has
developed competencies in engineering services, BPS, Cloud/DA&AI/Infra, cyber
security, platforms,
5G+network services and CMD
across verticals such as CME, manufacturing, BFSI, healthcare & life sciences,
retail & consumer goods, and hi-tech. On an LTM basis,
communications accounted for 39.3% of total revenues, followed by manufacturing
(16.1%), BFSI (16.4%), tech, media and entertainment (9.8%), retail, transport
and logistics
(7.5%), and the balance 10.9% by other verticals.
-
At the end of September 2020, the company has
been working with active clients of around 988 (up from
981 at the end of June 2020 and 946 at the end of September 2019), including
Fortune 500 companies across
90 countries with an employee count of about 124,258
professionals (69,512 software, 48,462 BPO and 6,284
sales & support) at the end of September 2020. One of
the key focus areas Tech Mahindra in FY20 was nurturing talent, and the company
has tied up with world-class
content partners and AI- based personalized learning
aggregators to ensure that its human capital/intellectual
machinery gets reskilled and honed to become the workforce of the future.
-
Tech Mahindra is one of the few global IT companies which has a complete
end-to-end span of services in the
communications vertical and has been able to leverage its
expertise and unique positioning to grow faster. The company today provides its
services to almost all the key global
communications companies. Its share
of the communications business
though has come down from about
52% in FY2015-16 to about 41.5% in
FY2019-20 and further to about 39.3%
(on an LTM basis) at the end of September 2020. Despite this, the share
of the communications vertical is much
higher when compared to leading Indian and global IT peers and is one of
the highest top-vertical revenue concentration amongst peers.
-
The communications
industry is one of the largest spenders on IT and network
services and the nature of these spends keeps evolving and
changing as new technologies get introduced. Tech
Mahindra has made significant investments in being relevant and benefiting from
new-age technologies. Tech
Mahindra has also entered into several partnerships to disrupt these
technologies. The company excels in design, development and deployment of an
operational-ready public
and private cloud platform upon which telecom companies can build their
business processes and networks of
the future.
-
The company is working on sub-contracting costs and
turning into a location-agnostic service provider, etc., to
offset the Covid-related drop and facilitate it to improve
the EBIT margin to over 15% in FY22 compared to around
14-15% currently. The company is also rationalising service-lines, geographies
and clients that are not profitable.
Though this will not materially impact
its revenue in a big way, it is a positive
step for profitability going forward. We
expect the company to register a consolidated EPS of Rs 51.1 for FY21 and
Rs 61.4 for FY22. The scrip is trading
around Rs 908, which discounts the
FY22 EPS by around 15 times.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-19
|
34742.10
|
4297.60
|
49.3
|
280.00
|
209.95
|
21.21
|
2019-20
|
36867.70
|
4033.00
|
48.1
|
300.00
|
226.50
|
20.35
|
2020-21(E)
|
38491.51
|
4439.82
|
50.9
|
300.00
|
262.39
|
19.91
|
2021-22(E)
|
43429.67
|
5361.80
|
61.5
|
320.00
|
307.85
|
20.32
|
HUHTAMAKI INDIA
BSE ticker code |
509820 |
NSE ticker code |
HUHTAMAKI |
Major activity |
Containers & Packaging |
Chairman |
Murali Sivaraman |
Equity capital |
Rs. 15.11 crore; FV Rs. 2 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 336 / Rs. 165 |
CMP |
Rs. 298 |
Market Capitalisation |
-- |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Riding consumer yen for packaging
Huhtamaki India (Huhtamaki-PPL), acquired by
Huhtamäki Oyj of Finland in 1999, is a leading provider of
innovative and sustainable flexible packaging and labelling
solutions, catering to the food and beverages, home and personal care, healthcare and
other speciality segments. Parent
Huhtamaki holds a 66.94% equity stake in HPPL as on September 30, 2020. HPPL has 18
manufacturing facilities in
Maharashtra, Dadra & Nagar
Haveli, Telangana, Uttarakhand,
Sikkim, Assam, Karnataka, Daman
and Himachal Pradesh. Prospects
for the company are robust.
Consider:
-
HPPL is a part of global
packaging giant Huhtamäki Oyj
that has a presence in more than
40 countries with 50-plus years of
association with leading FMCG
MNCs. This has helped HPPL (India) in product launches,
R&D and customer acquisitions. HPPL has increased its
presence in India via organic as well as inorganic expansion. It currently has
one of the largest capacities in flexible packaging with 18 plants spread
across India and 2
R&D centres.
-
Interestingly, the lockdown has increased demand
for packaged foods and other products. HPPL is well placed
to capture this demand as all its customers are in the FMCG
and pharma sectors. The Indian flexible packaging industry is expected to reach
a value of Rs 64,038 crore by 2022-
23, up from Rs 37,500 crore in 2017-18, growing at a
CAGR of 10% from 2017-2018 to 2022-23. The growth of
the industry is due to the increased use of flexible packaging at food service
outlets, along with higher demand for
packaged beverages. Consumers prefer flexible packaging
over rigid packaging since they are lighter, easily disposable and their impact
on the environment is significantly
less.
-
Additionally, the informal retail sector too is contributing significantly to
the growth in demand for flexible
packaging. Many brands are offering their products and services in small and
affordable sizes, such as sachets, to tap the
lower-end market.
-
As the demand for premiumization of products from
FMCG and other user industries
improves, the demand for
premiumization of packaging solutions (a forte of HPPL) will improve
further. A continuous growth in consumption spending in India, along
with product upgradation, will lead
to higher value and volume growth
for HPPL.
-
Huhtamaki PPL’s net
sales rose 6% to Rs 685.9 crore in
Q3CY20 compared to Q3CY19.
The company’s operating margins
increased 110 bps to 11.3%, leading to a 17% increase in
operating profits to Rs 77.43 crore. The acquisition of Mohan
Mutha Polytech Private Limited, Sri City, Andhra Pradesh
on a slump sale basis was completed on January 10, 2020.
Accordingly, the results of the acquired business have been
included in the results from January 10, 2020. PAT was up
16% to Rs 36.88 crore.
For nine months ended September 2020, net sales fell
1% to Rs 1,904.99 crore. The company’s operating margins decreased 140 bps to 10.4%.
Net profit fell 11% to Rs
90.91 crore. Consequent to the nationwide lockdown, the
company’s operations were scaled down in compliance
with regulatory orders. Towards the end of April 2020, the
company’s operations were scaled up in a phased manner, taking into account directive
from various government
authorities. This has negatively impacted the company’s
revenues and profits for the nine months ended September
2020.
In CY 2021 and CY 2022, we expect the company to
register an EPS of Rs 18.6
and Rs 22.7 respectively
after an expected EPS of
Rs 16.3 in CY20. The
scrip trades at Rs. 298. P/
E on the CY 2022 expected EPS works out to
around 8.8.
CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2019(E)
|
2582.37
|
159.12
|
17.4
|
150.00
|
73.68
|
24.6
|
2020(E)
|
2621.64
|
122.91
|
16.3
|
150.00
|
91.51
|
19.1
|
2021(E)
|
2291.42
|
140.63
|
18.6
|
150.00
|
107.12
|
20.81
|
2022(E)
|
3197.09
|
171.54
|
22.7
|
150.00
|
126.83
|
21.62
|
GARDEN REACH SHIPBUILDERS & ENGINEERS
BSE ticker code |
542011 |
NSE ticker code |
GRSE |
Major activity |
Commercial Vehicles |
Managing Director |
RAdm Vipin Kumar Saxena |
Equity capital |
Rs. 114.55 crore; FV Rs. 10 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 243 / Rs. 105 |
CMP |
Rs. 201 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 2297.30 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Shipbuilder of choice to the Navy
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers (GRSE) is
a public sector premier shipbuilding company under the administrative control of the
Ministry of Defence, primarily catering to the shipbuilding requirements of the Indian
Navy
and the Indian Coast Guard. The Centre holds a 74.5% stake
in the company. GRSE has created
a record of delivering 105 warships
to maritime forces till date, which
includes delivery of the 4th and last
ship of the prestigious Anti-Submarine Warfare Corvette (ASWC)
programme of the Indian Navy in
February 2020. It has also built fleet
tankers, offshore patrol vessels,
hovercraft, inshore patrol vessels,
water jet fast attack craft and fast
interceptor boats.
In addition to the shipbuilding products over the years,
GRSE has also supplied various boats, pontoons, barges,
sailing dinghies, fishing trawlers, fire floats, tugs, dredgers,
passenger ferries, motor cutters, deck whalers, launchers, etc.,
to various other customers. In view of the growing defence
requirements, the prospects for the company are highly promising.
Consider:
-
The indigenization achieved on board the Kamorta
class ASW Corvettes built by GRSE, the first warship built in
the country with indigenously developed warship grade steel
DMR & 49A, has eventually earned the distinction of achieving 90% overall
indigenous content. The Landing Craft Utility (LCU) ships, designed in-house by
GRSE, have also
achieved a similar distinction of over 90% indigenous content. The company has
delivered 7 such LCUs Mk IV ships to
the Indian Navy, and the 8th and last is getting ready for delivery very soon.
-
The company’s engineering division develops and
manufactures portable steel bridges, deck machinery equipment and marine pumps
across two units in Kolkata. While
the Tarantula Unit is engaged in production, assembly, test
and trials of all types of deck machinery equipment and naval
pumps, the ‘61 Park Unit’ produces
portable steel bridges. The engine
division has a diesel engine plant at
Ranchi for assembly, testing, servicing and repair of various models of
diesel engines used for marine propulsion and power generation in a
collaboration with MTU of Germany.
-
Though the company
has 3 business divisions, shipbuilding contributes the lion’s share of the
topline. In FY20, about 94% of the
revenue was accounted for shipbuilding, with the other two
divisions accounting for the balance 6%. The shipyard has a
strong order book. Its order backlog at the end of September
2020 was Rs 26,183 crore, which is about 18.3 times its FY20
revenues. The pending order book comprises orders for construction of 15
warships over the next 6-7 years for the Indian
Navy, pertaining to 3 projects, i.e., Stealth Frigates (P17A),
Survey Vessels (Large) and ASW Shallow Water Craft (ASWSWC).
-
Having won major orders in competitive bidding for
Survey Vessels (Large) and ASW-SWC projects of the Indian
Navy in recent years, GRSE’s technical and commercial competitiveness should
help the company do well in future bids as
well. However, being a public sector shipyard under the Ministry of Defence,
the company will also get nominated orders
in case of strategic importance to the nation.
The overall pick-up in execution, facilitated by enhanced
capacity/labour as well as easing of supply constraints, is expected to drive the
profitability of the company in FY22. We
expect the company to register a consolidated EPS of Rs 11.6 for FY21 and Rs
18.4 for FY22. The scrip is trading around
Rs 2,006, which discounts the FY22 EPS
by around 10.9 times.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Series
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-19
|
1386.42
|
109.94
|
9.7
|
69.5
|
90.64
|
10.58
|
2019-20
|
1433.30
|
163.48
|
14.9
|
71.4
|
90.81
|
16.73
|
2020-21
|
1130.62
|
132.43
|
11.6
|
65.00
|
95.87
|
14.22
|
2021-22(E)
|
1435.19
|
210.97
|
18.4
|
72.00
|
107.14
|
15.86
|