Portfolio Choice  123    15   

Published: Aug 29, 2019
Updated: Aug 29, 2019

HINDUSTAN UNILEVER
BSE ticker code 500696
NSE ticker code HINDUNILVR
Major activity Personal products
Managing Director Sanjiv Mehta
Equity capital Rs. 235 crore; FV Re. 01
52 week high/low Rs. 2504 / Rs. 2001
CMP Rs. 2391.15
Market Capitalisation Rs. 5,61,821.93 crore
Recommendation Accumulate at declines
Huge portfolio, reach & recall

Hindustan Unilever, the undisputed market leader in the FMCG space, has a vast essentials portfolio and enjoys market leadership in most of the categories it is present in — with a high brand recall especially in the home and personal care business. The company is rated among the best-managed companies in the country. It has a strong balance sheet and is expected to scale new highs going ahead.

Consider:

  • The company is well-diversified and is a clear market leader in many products. In personal care products, it is Asia’s biggest manufacturer by market value. The company is the No. 1 laundry company in India with revenues growing at 10 per cent CAGR. It is also the No. 1 hair care company in India with a hefty 59 per cent marketshare and a CAGR of 11 per cent. Further, it is the market leader in tea under the Brooke Bond brand with a 10 per cent CAGR. Apart from these, the company is also ranked No. 1 in skin care, skin cleansing and make up, No. 2 in oral care and No. 3 in deodorants. z Almost 85 to 90 per cent of the company’s portfolio falls under the essentials category. The Covid-19 pandemic has hit the country’s economy very hard, but HUL is on a safer footing compared to some of its peers during the last 15-20 months. Needless to say, home care (36 per cent of the portfolio) and food and refreshment (19 per cent of the portfolio) have been outperforming the market.
  • z A major plus point for the company is its huge market reach. It has a distribution reach of 7 million-plus outlets and direct distribution at 3 million retail outlets. The company’s direct distribution works out to 67.7 per cent in the current times when last-mile reach is crucial and there are several transportation constraints. An extensive distribution network is a major factor for the sustained growth of the company. This will also enable the company to gain marketshare from smaller regional players. Srinivas Phatak, former CEO of the company, has aptly quipped, “Big brands grow faster in this pandemic.”
  • z The company has moved fast with the times to take advantage of the new trends in marketing related to e-commerce. Besides associating with leading e-commerce companies, HUL has launched its own e-commerce initiative with Hamarashop.com to tap the grocery segment. The portal has tied up with several kirana stores to reach out to consumers indirectly. According to a research analyst, apart from e-comm the management has also realized that in the current juncture, when feet on the street and sales infrastructure are not able to generate orders in the traditional manner, such technological innovations and changes in the structure of modern and general trade might be beneficial to HUL.
  • z The company has resorted to the merger and acquisition route to widen its product categories. Last year it acquired the consumer business of GSK, acquiring the Horlicks brand in India along with distribution of other OTC and oral health products of GSK for five years. This merger has given a big boost to the food and refreshment business of the company. Horlicks, being a nutritional drink, is expected to benefit in the current pandemic situation when consumers are increasing spends on healthy living and nutrition. According to an expert, the food-drinks category in India has only 24 per cent penetration and rural penetration is only 14 per cent. Horlicks has a 50 per cent volume share and with HUL’s extensive distribution reach, the management is confident of achieving double-digit growth going ahead.
  • z The company also acquired the intellectual property of the V-Wash brand from Glenmark – a market leader in the female intimate hygiene category which enjoys a 79 per cent recall amongst customers. There is a lot of potential for HUL to grow this market — the company can leverage its distribution channels to introduce the product to larger markets and penetrate rural areas, which can unlock immense value in the long run.
  • z The company is also on the path of organic expansion. It has planned to set up a new 100 per cent subsidiary with an authorised capital of Rs 2,000 crore – the idea being to leverage growth opportunities in the changed business environment by commencing manufacturing before March 2023 to avail tax benefits. This subsidiary will enable the company to push up its topline as well as bottomline.

Despite the economic slowdown followed by the pandemic, the company has put up an impressive show on the financial front. During the last five years, its sales turnover has expanded from Rs 31,890 crore in the fiscal 2017 to Rs. 45,996 crore in the fiscal 2021 with the profit at net level shooting up from Rs 4,490 crore to Rs 7,954 crore during this period. The company’s financial position is very strong, with reserves at the end of March 2021 standing at Rs 7,815 crore – over 36 times its equity capital of Rs 216.43 crore, and that too after four bonus issues (1:3 in 1979, 3:5 in 1983, 1:1 in 1987 and 1:2 in 1991). Prospects for the company going ahead are all the more promising. Once the Covid-19 pressures ease, the company will start growing at a fast pace. Investors will benefit substantially in the medium to long term

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2018-19 38224.00 6036.00 27.94 2200.00 35.38 78.80
2019-20 38785.00 6738.00 31.19 3450.00 37.10 83.90
2020-21(E) 45996.00 7954.00 33.85 3100.00 201.88 16.76
2021-22(E) 50000.00 8200.00 35.20 3400.00 207.50 22.10
PERSISTENT SYSTEMS
BSE ticker code 533179
NSE ticker code PERSISTENT
Major activity IT Consulting & Software
Chairman Anand Deshpande
Equity capital Rs. 76.43 crore; FV Rs. 10
52 week high/low Rs. 2595 / Rs. 572
CMP Rs. 2535.20
Market Capitalisation Rs. 19375.27 crore
Recommendation Buy at declines
‘Persistence’ in core areas pays off

Pune-headquartered Persistent Systems is a global IT company specialising in software products, services and technology innovation. It offers services across all stages of the product life cycle. Widely recognized as one of the leading technology companies in the Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Technology Fast 500 Asia-Pacific 2009, the company is a digital engineering and enterprise modernisation partner, combining deep technical expertise and industry experience to help its clients anticipate ‘what next’ and answer questions before they’re asked. During its existence of three decades, the company has made impressive strides and is all set to scale new highs. This is an excellent stock to include in the portfolio of every discerning investor.

Consider:

  • Even in a country full of world-renowned IT companies like TCS, Infosys, Wipro, HCL Technologies and Tech Mahindra, the erstwhile small cap company has carved its own space and has a global presence. While expanding its global footprint and scaling up its business operations with remarkable growth in revenues, the company has achieved notable depth of experience in the focused areas of telecommunications, life sciences and infrastructure, as well as systems. Having established itself in the list of the most trusted and capable IT companies, Persistent is all set to scale a new high in its capabilities and financial performance.
  • z The company is growing at a fast pace. And in order to handle its rising workload, it has had to resort to a strong headcount addition. Of late, it has been hiring 800 to 1,000 freshers every year. During fiscal 2021, the head count has grown at a higher rate of 29 per cent than the revenue growth of 12.8 per cent. That’s little wonder, despite an 11.7 per cent attrition rate, given the robust hiring, reduction in utilisation to comfortable levels, a normal wage hike cycle starting from July 2021 for fiscal 2022, and distribution of incentives such as a 100 per cent bonus based on a strong fiscal 2021 performance and a $ 600,000 ‘resilience gift’ for 5-month delivery during the pandemic.
  • z The company has been growing through both organic as well as inorganic routes. Earlier (fiscal 2006), it had acquired Goabased Control Net (India) Pvt Ltd. After a couple of years it signed an asset purchase and sale agreement with Metrikus (India) Pvt Ltd, Hyderabad. At the same time it opened a branch office in Rotterdam, The Netherlands. In 2014, it acquired Silicon Valleybased Cloud Squads Inc and in 2015 it acquired the assets of the Aepona IoT platform from Intel, focused by acquisition of cloud platform assets from Citrix. These acquisitions also enabled Persistent to acquire development centres in Belfast and Colombo. These acquisitions proved crucial for digital transformation. In 2018, the company completed the acquisition of PARX – a platinum sales force consulting company based in Switzerland and Germany. This year (May 2021), the company acquired assets of Sureline Systems Inc and its subsidiary Sureline Systems. All these acquisitions have made Persistent a formidable IT company.
  • z Deepening expertise in various verticals and widening its presence globally helped Persistent win healthy deals. During Q4 FY21 (January to March 2021), the company’s deal win total contract value (TCV) was $ 246.5 million (vs. $ 302 million in Q3 FY21). The management is confident of generating a quarterly average deal win TCV of $ 200-250 million in fiscal 2020. During the last five years, the company’s revenues have steadily grown from Rs 1,733 crore in fiscal 2017 to Rs 2,480 crore in fiscal 2021, with the profit at net level advancing from Rs 294 crore to Rs 505 crore during this period. The company’s financial position has become stronger, with reserves at the end of March 2021 standing at Rs 2,222 crore – almost 28 times its equity capital of Rs 80 crore.

The company had made a bonus issue in the ratio of 1:1 in 2015 and shareholders can expect a fresh bonus issue in the next few years. This cash-rich company has a sizeable cash balance of Rs 1,760 crore and is literally debt-free. The interest burden for fiscal 2021 was a fractional Rs 3.82 crore against its turnover of Rs 2480 crore. The company’s stocks were available around Rs 550 just a few months ago, but informed buying pushed up the share price to Rs 2,500. Of course, it would be better to accumulate the shares at every decline. But even at the current price level, it is advisable to buy if you have the patience to wait for 3 to 5 years. For the current year, we expect an EPS of Rs 80. The P/ E at the current price of Rs 2,500 works out to around 31 per cent.

CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2018-19 1959.87 315.01 39.81 110.00 280.74 14.18
2019-20 2108.42 407.72 53.35 120.00 296.94 17.96
2020-21 (E) 2479.61 505.09 66.09 200.00 355.70 18.58
2021-22 (E) 2742.15 530.45 70.24 220.00 370.10 20.10
CORDS CABLE INDUSTRIES
BSE ticker code 532941
NSE ticker code CORDSCABLE
Major activity Cables
Managing Director Naveen Sawhney
Equity capital Rs. 12.93 crore; FV Rs. 10
52 week high/low Rs. 60 / Rs. 31
CMP Rs. 54.95
Market Capitalisation Rs. 71.04 crore
Recommendation Buy at declines
Expanding the world of cables

Cords Cable Industries, a small cap company, designs, develops and manufactures a varied range of power, control, instrumentation, thermocouple extension/compensating and communication cables. Its instrumentation, control and power cables find applications across industries; viz; power, oil & gas, hydrocarbons, fertilizers, metal & cement, airports, railways, metro rail and smart cities, amongst others. This is a safe investment bet with good chances of appreciation.

Consider:

  • Since its start in 1991, the company has expanded its product portfolio. Currently its product range includes instrumentation cables, control cables (up to 1.10 KV) and low tension (LT) power cables (up to 1.10 KV). Currently about 76% of the company’s cable output comprises instrumentation and control cables and the balance 24% comprises power cables. Over three decades of market presence, the company enjoys a strong brand image in the B2B segment. The company has carved a niche in manufacturing customized cables as per the customer’s specifications. 95% of the company’s orders are based on customer specifications.
  • z The clientele of the company is diverse and across sectors, including hydrocarbons, automobiles, cement, power, and freight corridors. In the domestic market, some of the key clients are Larsen & Toubro, BHEL, Bombardier, Delhi Metro, Engineers India, GE, Alstom, ABB, ONGC, Cairn and Alstom Transportation. CCIL has a low customer concentration risk as the top 5 customers contributed around 24% (PY 33%) of net sales in FY20. In FY20, about 69% (54% in FY19) of the revenue came from the hydrocarbon sector with contributions from metro/railways at 5% (down from 11% in FY19) and power at 6% (down from 19% in FY19). The company aims to be a leading global player, providing products and services, offering comprehensive solutions to the electrical, data and signal connectivity requirements of businesses as well as household users. It continues to focus on capturing new markets by developing customers in new and existing territories, and to provide new cables for special applications like solar, marine, low temperature cables, cables for automobiles, etc.
  • z Overall, the company is the major beneficiary of investment in modernization and fresh capacity creation in both the industrial and infrastructure segments of the country.
  • z Recently, the company has been awarded a prestigious order, estimated at around Rs. 22 crore, from the Indian arm of a Taiwan-based engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) major. The order from an international entities’ Indian arm for the supply of instrument cables and wires to an LNG project in Odisha showcases the strong brand equity enjoyed by the company.
  • z Earlier, the company had received approval from the Indian arm of a Japanese engineering consultancy and contracting major, enabling it to participate in future bids for supplying qualified products. Such developments improving the brand image of the company augur well for CCIL going ahead.

The company is steadily growing on the financial front. During the last five years, its revenues have expanded from Rs 323 crore in fiscal 2017 to Rs 421 crore in fiscal 2020. For the first nine months of fiscal 2021, revenues stood at around Rs 320 crore. The earnings per share more than doubled from Rs 4 in fiscal 2017 to Rs 8.25 in fiscal 2020, and for the first three quarters of fiscal 2021 it is placed around Rs 5.55. We expect the PES to reach the Rs 6 mark for the full fiscal 2021 and to go up to Rs 8.50 in 2022. The share price is quoted around Rs 54.95, which is at least Rs 5 below its fair price. What is more, prospects are much better going ahead.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Series Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2018-19 416.75 7.34 5.70 104.10 5.62
2019-20 420.90 10.90 8.40 110.10 7.90
2020-21 (E) 425.10 11.20 6.40 112.30 7.45
2021-22(E) 432.40 14.30 8.90 10.00 116.40 8.20

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