NESTLÉ INDIA
BSE ticker code |
500790 |
NSE ticker code |
NESTLEIND |
Major activity |
FMGC (Packaged Foods) |
Managing Director |
Suresh Narayanan |
Equity capital |
Rs. 96.42 crore; FV Rs. 10 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 18822 / Rs. 15104 |
CMP |
Rs. 16699.00 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 161004.60 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Revenues, profits continue to soar
Nestlé India is the Indian subsidiary of Swiss multinational Nestlé SA, the largest food
company in the world with
a strong brand portfolio in the packaged food and beverages
space. Thanks to their excellent quality, many products of the
company are highly popular and many of them have become
household names, including Maggie noodles, Nescafé, Nestlé
milk, KitKat, Munch, Milkmaid and
Nescafé Sunshine. The company is
doing extremely well and prospects
ahead are all the more highly promising.
Consider:
-
The company’s products
are rated very high in quality. Little
wonder that even during the last 15
months of the pandemic, its products
have been meeting with very good
demand, leading to double digit
growth in several key products. In
fact, the pandemic has pushed up the
demand for the company’s products. The second Covid wave
has led to localised lockdowns, which in turn will help the
company achieve better growth at a time when consumers
are shifting to trusted brands.
-
The company has a strong presence across India,
with manufacturing facilities located at Moga in Punjab,
Choladi in Tamil Nadu, Samalkha in Haryana, Nanjangud
in Karnataka, Ponda and Bicholim in Goa, and Pantnagar in
Uttarakhand. It also has four branch offices in the four metros
– Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai and Kolkata — to help facilitate
the sales and marketing of its products. With its facilities spread
all over the country, the company has adopted a cluster-based
distribution strategy by remapping India into 15 clusters, apart
from decentralisation which has empowered the factories and
sales locations in decision-making.
-
At present the company is concentrating on the urban sector for pushing up its
pace of growth, with the sector
accounting for around 75 per cent of revenues. Now, the
management has decided to penetrate the rural sector – which
contributes only 25 per cent to revenues — in order to quicken
the pace of growth. During the last 18 months, the company
has doubled its reach from 45,000 villages to 90,000. Realising
that there are tremendous growth prospects in the rural sector
on account of rising incomes and expanding expectations,
the company has decided to reach
1,20,000 villages by 2024.
-
Known for its innovation and premiumisation of its products, the company is
continuously
launching new products. During the
last two years, it has launched as many
as 60 new products with a 70 per cent
success rate. In view of its rural penetration drive, the company is keen to
launch products like upma, poha and
breakfast cereals. The company is on
the verge of launching 40 new products but is not in hurry to introduce them
immediately on account of the pandemic. The new products are expected to
sustain the pace of growth of the company.
-
In most of its key products, the company enjoys a
dominant position in the market despite growing competition.
The popular Maggie noodles segment was hard hit during the
crisis in 2015, when the company literally lost its total
marketshare. But thanks to the high quality and remarkable
taste of the Nestlé product, coupled with the imaginative and
effective steps taken by Managing Director Suresh Narayanan,
the company has succeeded in recovering lost ground during
the last six years and today enjoys a hefty 60 per cent
marketshare, despite frantic efforts by Hind Unilever, Patanjali,
ITC and Marico. Though ITC has succeeded in capturing the
second position, the others are nowhere in the race today. Nestlé
has won the battle thanks to the taste of the product, advertising campaigns,
differentiation and its distribution reach.
-
The company has joined the new distribution avenue
of e-commerce. With 70 per cent of its portfolio being urban, Nestlé is
well-placed to
capture the e-commerce boom, resumption
in modern trade and out-of-home consumption. The company is looking at the
opportunity to close the gap with a few other
FMCG players for whom e-commerce makes up 5 to 6 per cent of sales, through
the introduction of digital-only products,
a focus on digital marketing and meeting
new consumption needs. In fact, it is believed that the company’s portfolio is
among the most suited to e-commerce.
The current lockdown and the resultant
work-from-home culture is expected to
boost consumption of Nestlé’s offerings,
especially cooking aids, noodles, pasta,
coffee, sauces and milk products.
-
The company is going from
strength to strength on the financial front.
During the last five years, its revenues
have expanded from Rs 9,224 crore in
calendar year 2016 to Rs 13,350 crore
in 2020, with the profit at the net level
taking a huge jump from Rs 926.54 crore
to Rs 2082.43 crore during the same
period. The company’s financial position is very strong, with reserves at the
end of December 2020 standing at Rs
1,923 crore against an equity capital of
Rs 96.42 crore, that too after four bonus issues (3:5 in 1983, 1:1 in 1986, 3:5
in
1989, 1:4 in 1993 and 1:2 in 1996).
The company has been paying hefty dividends, the rate for the last year being
900 per cent.
The company has started the new
year (2021) on a buoyant note. With sales
turnover registering a 10.7 per cent growth
in Q1 CY2021 at Rs 3,111 crore, the company has earned a 13.1 per cent higher
net profit at Rs 603 crore. We expect an
EPS of Rs 325 for the full year. The stock
is now quoted around Rs 16,538.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-19
|
11292.77
|
1606.00
|
166.70
|
1150.00
|
381.00
|
45.30
|
2019-20
|
13350.03
|
2082.43
|
216.00
|
2000.00
|
209.40
|
105.76
|
2020-21(E)
|
15000.00
|
2390.00
|
240.00
|
2100.00
|
210.00
|
109.40
|
2021-22(E)
|
16500.00
|
2590.00
|
270.00
|
2150.00
|
215.00
|
112.30
|
INDUS TOWERS
BSE ticker code |
534816 |
NSE ticker code |
INDUSTOWER |
Major activity |
Telecom Services |
Chairman |
Narayanan Kumar |
Equity capital |
Rs. 2694.90 crore; FV Rs. 10 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 282 / Rs. 161 |
CMP |
Rs. 252.45 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 68033.68 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Riding surge in data expansion
Indus Towers, formed by the merger of Bharti Infratel
with Indus Towers, has emerged as the largest tower company in the world outside China.
The company has a nationwide presence with operations in all 22 telecom circles in India
and as on March 2021, it owns and operates 179,225
towers and 322,438 co-locations,
enabling communication for millions
of people daily. The company provides towers’ access primarily on a
wireless basis under long-term contracts. Its leading customers are
Bharti Airtel, Vodafone Idea and
Reliance Jio Infocom. Prospects for
the company are highly encouraging.
Consider:
-
The merger has proved
highly beneficial to the company as
it will now control more than a third
of the tower industry in the country.
Again, with the amalgamation, the merged company will save
close to Rs 500 crore annually. The merger has doubled the
sales turnover to Rs 13,951 crore and the net profit to Rs
3,338.20 crore in fiscal year 2021 over the previous year.
Experts believe that Indus will become a Rs 25,000-crore sales
company within the next five years or so.
-
Enthused by the merger, the well-known brokerage
house CLSA has given the company a ‘buy’ rating, saying
the mobile tower company has added the highest number of
towers last year and has an upside potential to grow in valuation. Again, the
company’s anchor tenants reported data
tariff growth of 46 per cent yoy in the first three quarters of
fiscal 2021. CLSA forecast Indus’s EBIDTA growth at 5 per
cent. And if its current momentum continues, its fiscal 2023
growth will be at 10 per cent besides a 5 per cent yield that
will be highest among peers.
-
The company is moving fast towards 5G and the
race towards this goal will make the infrastructure space even
more relevant. The market is poised for three robust and sound
telecom operators competing with each other in this space.
-
The 5G opportunity will be carried out in three phases:
the initial phase would be the loading requirement and the second growth phase
would cover the requirement of densification and inner coverage. The last
phase would constitute the rollout of
mission-critical services, potentially
driving demand for data centres.
Indus can play a big part in this.
-
Indus Tower’s CEO
Bimal Dayal admits that new spectrum will be deployed and the great
network activity which takes place
is a very good stimulant for the company. In the coming days, “the
space we operate in will become
more and more relevant,” adds Mr
Dayal. The company is now revalidating its growth strategy and believes future
growth is hinged
on small cells, smart cities fibre, WIFI, data centres and the
macro tower business.
-
The pace with which data expansion is taking place
provides ample growth opportunities for tower companies.
Of late, India continues to witness strong data growth trends
with industry-wide data volumes spurting 25-30 per cent yoy
(in the first half of fiscal 2020)
-
The company is doing quite well on the financial front.
After the merger in November 2020, the company’s shape and
size have undergone a dramatic change. The sales turnover,
which was hovering around Rs 6,000-6,800 crore for the previous 5 years, has
almost doubled to Rs 13,951 crore in fiscal
2021. The net profit, which had declined from Rs 2,750 crore
in fiscal 2017 to Rs 1,746 crore in fiscal 2020, has jumped to
Rs 3,338 crore in fiscal 2021. The company’s financial position has become
stronger, with reserves at the end of March
2021 standing at Rs 12,031 crore, more than 4 times the equity capital of Rs
2,695
crore. The new company
declared a bumper dividend
of 178 per cent. Prospects
ahead are all the more
promising.
Shares of the company are quoted
around Rs 250/255, its EPS for fiscal
2021 amounting to Rs 12.39. We expect
the EPS for the current year to be over
Rs 14.50 per share.
CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-2019
|
6821.70
|
2779.00
|
15.00
|
150.00
|
82.00
|
14.22
|
2019-2020
|
20100.00
|
3779.00
|
14.00
|
201.00
|
65.70
|
21.50
|
2020-2021(E)
|
25000.00
|
4170.00
|
17.00
|
215.00
|
55.82
|
22.40
|
2021-2022(E)
|
27000.00
|
4800.00
|
19.00
|
220.00
|
60.73
|
23.15
|
HIMACHAL FUTURISTIC COMMUNICATIONS
BSE ticker code |
500183 |
NSE ticker code |
HFCL |
Major activity |
Telecom Services |
Managing Director |
Mahendra Nahata |
Equity capital |
Rs. 128.44 crore; FV Re. 01 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 39 / Rs. 8 |
CMP |
Rs. 35.90 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 4610.91 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Performing its way out of controversy
Himachal Futuristic Communications Ltd (HFCL),
a three-decade-old company which has been a controversial
name in the past, is a diverse telecom infrastructure enabler
spanning telecom infrastructure development, system integration and manufacture of
high-end telecom equipment and
optical fibre cable (OFC). The company has passed through
various good and bad phases and
is now on a steady growth path.
Going ahead, its future prospects are
all the more promising.
Consider:
-
During the last three decades, HFCL has emerged as a leading OFC manufacturer in
the country by delivering innovative,
customised and competitive products, and the latest solutions in the
high-technology telecom infrastructure sector. The company’s activities
cover the entire value chain – from
the manufacture of leading-edge telecom products to implementation of telecom
networks.
The company specialises in the manufacturing of telecom
equipment, optical fibre cables and intelligent power systems. It has technical
tie-ups for the manufacture of nextgeneration fibre access network equipment
(FTTX system)
and broadband wireless access solutions (WiFi systems). The
company has three manufacturing facilities – at Solan in
Himachal Pradesh, Salcete in Goa and Chennai in Tamil
Nadu. As a solutions provider, it has implemented several
greenfield projects, including the setting up of CDMA and GSM
networks, satellite communications, wireless spectrums management and DWDM
optical transmission networks.
-
With a view to removing the bad image of the company, the management has
resorted to a determined and concerted drive to take the company on a healthy
growth path
through expansion and diversification, and launching newer
products. In recent years, HFCL’s telecom product and turnkey solutions segments
have been driving its growth, taking
advantage of the government’s thrust on transforming the
country into Digital India. This has been on the back of a
robust OFC network that addresses fast-multiplying data transmission
requirements. With the completion of expansion
projects, the company is now addressing the fibre-to-the-home
(FTTX) business segment, which has
significant growth potential going
ahead. Meanwhile, the company has
also established itself as a global supplier of OFC products with exports
to over 25 countries.
-
The company is
spreading its business spectrum by
adding the business dimensions of
railways and defence, which have
excellent prospects ahead. The company has started participating in various
railways tenders for design, supply and erection of turnkey telecom networks in
railways for
freight corridors and Metro Rail projects. As far as the defence
segment is concerned, HFCL has been awarded seven licences
by the government for manufacturing defence equipment, including radars,
communication systems, weapons, night vision
systems and fuses. The company is now working at full capacity to meet the
growing demand for its products and services.
-
Having started a greenfield project for the manufacture of optical fibre, the
company has embarked on a continued expansion on account of the fast-growing
demand, and
during the last three years it has almost quadrupled its manufacturing capacity
from 30,000 CKM to 1,10,000 CKM. Meanwhile, it has also developed many new
products to meet the
increasing demand for special cable products which are extensively used in
overseas markets.
-
At home, all the leading telecom players are customers of HFCL, including
Bharti Airtel, Reliance Industries,
BSNL and MTNL. Reliance is now entrusting HFCL more
and more for its Jio outfit. In fact, Reliance has also taken a small stake in
HFCL.
-
Demand for the company’s products and services is growing at a fast pace.
It has a robust order book worth around
Rs 7,500 crore, reflecting revenue visibility for the next two years.
-
During the last three years, the
company has already incurred a capex of Rs 350 crore for beefing up its
manufacturing capabilities. It has chalked out
a plan to spend Rs 300 crore by fiscal 2023
for OFC expansion, modernisation and
setting up facilities for defence products
and towards the development of various
telecom products.
-
The company has been steadily
growing on the financial front. During the last
five years, its revenues have expanded from
Rs 2,570 crore in fiscal 2016 to Rs 3,547
crore in fiscal 2020, with the profit at net level
almost doubling from Rs 119 crore to Rs 204
crore during this period. The company’s financial position is also improving,
with reserves at the end of March 2021 standing at
Rs 1,517 crore against the equity capital of
Rs 128.44 crore.
128.44 crore.
The days of controversies – political patronage of the former telecom minister Sukhram,
media tycoon Kerry
Packer, share price rigging by Ketan
Parekh, SEBI and CBI probes, etc — are
over and the company is busy concentrating on expansion, product diversification and
effective marketing. It seems
the time has come for investors to view
HFCL from a different angle.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Series
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-19
|
4366.20
|
184.03
|
1.40
|
20.00
|
11.40
|
13.72
|
2019-20
|
4422.96
|
203.83
|
1.60
|
—
|
14.90
|
14.65
|
2020-21(E)
|
4623.00
|
235.10
|
1.90
|
10.00
|
19.56
|
15.35
|
2021-22(E)
|
5000.00
|
250.40
|
2.20
|
12.00
|
22.10
|
17.10
|