INDIA ENERGY EXCHANGE
BSE ticker code |
503806 |
NSE ticker code |
SRF |
Major activity |
Diversified |
Managing Director |
Ashish Bharat Ram |
Equity capital |
Rs. 59.25 crore; FV Rs. 10 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 10355 / Rs. 3996 |
CMP |
Rs. 110168.80 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 60245.26 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Market leader eyes huge energy pie
Indian Energy Exchange is India’s premier energy marketplace, providing a nationwide
automated trading platform
for the physical delivery of electricity, renewable and certificated. Of late, the
company has pioneered cross-border electricity trade, expanding its power market beyond
India, in an
endeavour to create an integrated South Asian power market. It enjoys a virtual monopoly
with
a 92% marketshare, even as it is still
in the early stage of business. Obviously, prospects for the company are
highly promising.
Consider:
-
Powered by state-of-the-art
and customer-centric technology, enabling efficient price discovery and
facilitating the ease of power procurement, the company has a robust ecosystem
of 6,800+ participants located across 29 states and 5 Union
territories, consisting of 55+ distribution utilities and 500+ conventional
generators. It also has a strong base of 4,400+ commercial
and industrial consumers, representing industries such as
metal, food processing, textile, cement, ceramic, chemicals,
automobiles, information technology, institutional housing and
real estate, as well as commercial entities.
The company has ISO certifications for quality management, information
management and environmental management since August 2016, and is approved and
regulated by
the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission. This year, India is facing a
severe coal crisis, and a bourse with a near
monopoly in electricity trading in India is drawing attention.
-
IEX, the country’s first energy exchange since its
inception in 2008, is in the bluest of oceans – its only competitor, Power
Exchange of India, would surface months later.
A dozen years down the line, IEX still has a vice-like grip over
the energy market — which in India means the electricity
market — and the company’s fortunes look set for both external and internal
reasons. As far as the external factor is concerned, energy markets in India are
still evolving. Volumes
are still extremely low, cueing fast growth. In a country that
consumes 1.3 trillion Kwh of electricity a year, just 6% is traded
over the exchange. Most of the electricity is sold by generators
to buyers through long-term power purchase agreements
(PPAs) that are typically spread over
25 years. Thus, though the market will
grow on its own, there is additional
propulsion in the form of the government whip.
-
The government has
now proposed a market-based economic dispatch (MBED), under which
power supply will be routed through
the market, and any difference between the market price and the price
agreed under the PPAs will be squared
up offline between the buyer and the
seller. The idea is to deepen the market as well as provide a
clear market-based price signal. This is a good step for IEX.
Another driver is the longer-term contracts and derivatives
trading in energy. A decision will be taken very soon. Whenever longer-term
contracts – say, for three or six months —
and derivatives are allowed, more players will jump to the
exchanges. IEX’s blue ocean will hence get bigger.
-
Thanks to its monopoly power, IEX is going from
strength to strength on the financial front. During the last
five years, its revenues have steadily expanded from Rs 204
crore in fiscal 2017 to Rs 317 crore in fiscal 2021, with the
profit at net level inching up from Rs 113.57 crore to Rs
213.49 crore during this period. The company’s financial
position is very comfortable, with reserves at the end of March
2017 standing at over Rs 500 crore – almost 17 times its
equity capital of Rs 29.85 crore. Needless to say, a bonus
issue is on the way.
Prospects for the company have got
a big boost from the fact that the country
is facing a severe coal crisis and the
government’s intent to push ahead with
reforms will change the dynamics in the
nation’s power sector. Even as the share
price has shot up recently, these stocks are
worth accumulating at every decline.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2019-20
|
294.16
|
165.04
|
5.50
|
--
|
11.60
|
45.48
|
2020-21
|
257.13
|
165.89
|
9.50
|
250.0
|
12.70
|
44.59
|
2021-22 (E)
|
360.10
|
239.40
|
7.35
|
400.0
|
19.10
|
44.15
|
TATA POWER
BSE ticker code |
500400 |
NSE ticker code |
TATAPOWER |
Major activity |
Electric Utilities |
Chairman |
N. Chandrasekaran |
Equity capital |
Rs. 319.56 crore; FV Re. 01 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 265 / Rs. 51 |
CMP |
Rs. 257.25 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 82200.11 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
On cusp of ‘renewable’ revolution
Mumbai-headquartered Tata Power, a prestigious
Tata group company, is the country’s largest integrated power
company, with a presence across the entire power value chain
— generation of renewable as well as conventional power
(including hydro and thermal energy), transmission and distribution, coal and freight
logistics, and trading. The company is undergoing a renewable
revolution to do away with the conventional energy business. Prospects
for the company are highly attractive and the stock can emerge as a
multibagger.
Consider:
-
Shaken into action by the
adverse impact of climate change on
human beings and the economy, the
world is now determined to go green.
Taking its cue, the management of
Tata Power has decided to jettison
thermal power generation and expand its business in renewable energy. It aims to
scale up its
renewable portfolio from the current 4 GW to 15 GW by 2025
and further to 25 GW by 2030, thereby achieving 80 per cent
clear generation capacity, up from the current 31 per cent.
-
The company’s transition into the green segment is
gaining strong momentum with nearly 40 per cent of
marketshare enjoyed by its EV charging/solar EPC segments.
Its solar pumps/solar rooftop business has witnessed huge
growth during Q2FY22 with the highest ever order book of
Rs 1,100 crore across solar pumps.
-
Till the pandemic badly impacted the company’s
sales and earnings, it was doing quite well. During the last
five years, its sales turnover had advanced from Rs 6,688
crore in fiscal 2017 to Rs 7,933 crore in fiscal 2019 before
declining to Rs 6,181 crore in fiscal 2021. Likewise, the profit
at net level spurted from Rs 392.44 crore in fiscal 2017 to
Rs 1,708 crore in fiscal 2019, before nosediving to Rs 921
crore in fiscal 2021 under the Covid pandemic’s impact.
However, with the waning impact of the pandemic from the
current fiscal (2022) year, things have started changing fast.
During Q1FY22, the company’s consolidated net profit shot
up by 89.3 per cent, as compared to the corresponding quarter a year ago, on
account of robust growth in the renewable energy business. The prospects will be
much better going ahead.
-
The company’s growth
focus is rooted in solar/wind power
generation capacity, regulated
power transmission/distribution
and new ESG-positive businesses
such as charging of electric vehicles,
solar micro grids, rooftop solar and
solar EPC. Regulated businesses in
particular will provide steady earnings and cash flow.
-
Experts believe that
growth in renewable assets and tax
benefits will outweigh the losses in the company’s Mundra
project, which has become a proverbial albatross around its
neck. A rally in coal prices can swell the losses but profits from
its Indonesian coal mine may provide a hedge. Benefits from
ESG certification will be a bonus.
-
The company’s remarkable efforts in deleveraging
the balance sheet, involving a debt reduction plan, has
changed the outlook of the company. The company’s net
debt of Rs 36,000 crore by March-end is 1.4 times net debtto-equity equated and
4 times EBITDA. One-fourth of the
debt was in regulated assets where interest costs were passed
through tariffs. One-third of it was in renewables and the
remaining 40 per cent was in the Mundra project and the
coal SPV. The management now aims to monetise assets
and reduce the debt-to-equity ratio to 1:1. Experts point out
that the release of Rs 3,500-4,000 crore equity could come
from non-core assets. Moreover, the renewable assets are
ready for listing on bourses. That stake sale would provide it
with cash to rebuild the debt. Thus, a debt-ridden company
is going to be a totally
debt-free entity.
Thus, a renewable
transition and deleveraging
of the balance sheet will
elevate a listless stock into
a multi-bagger.
CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-2019
|
7932.83
|
385.30
|
1.40
|
130.0
|
52.50
|
2.84
|
2019-20
|
29136.37
|
241.17
|
0.80
|
155.0
|
64.70
|
1.38
|
2021-22 (E)
|
37010.00
|
625.40
|
2.15
|
160.0
|
66.30
|
3.33
|
2020-2021(E)
|
32468.10
|
609.73
|
1.90
|
155.0
|
65.20
|
3.14
|
TRIDENT
BSE ticker code |
521064 |
NSE ticker code |
TRIDENT |
Major activity |
Textiles |
Managing Director |
Rajiv Dewan |
Equity capital |
Rs. 509.60 crore; FV Re. 01 |
52 week high/low |
Rs. 42 / Rs. 7 |
CMP |
Rs. 40.60 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs. 20689.58 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy at declines |
Taking home textiles global
Trident, a Ludhiana (Punjab)-headquartered company, is one of the fastest growing and
well-diversified companies engaged in the manufacture of yarn, textile, paper and
chemicals. The company is doing very well and viewed in the
context of its growth plans and operational efficiency, its future prospects are highly
promising.
Consider:
-
The company is a leading
manufacturer of yarn and its product mix includes 100 per cent cotton blended
yarn, special openended yarn, organic cotton core
spun yarn, Eli-twist yarn, compact
yarn, stub yarn and an exclusive
range of value-added yarns like
mélanges, package dyed, gassed
mercerized yarn, zero twist, wrapper
yarn, bamboo/cotton, modal/cotton,
soya/cotton, polyester/cotton, BCI/
cotton, MMP/cotton and 100 per
cent dyed yarn. Trident employs over 5.83 lakh spindles and
6,464 rotors across various locations, producing a massive
output of 350 tonnes per day. The manufacturing unit is
equipped with the latest technology such as a blowroom from
Trustzehler, ring frames from Zinsset and Murata, compact
attachments of Suessen and testing technologies from UT 5.
All its good-quality yarns are very much in demand at home
as well as abroad.
-
A half of yarns is used for captive production of
home textiles, mainly bedsheets and bath linen, which contribute around 82 per
cent of the company’s revenues. In fact,
the company is the number one manufacturer of terry towels
in the world. The company has acquired wide and varied
global scale capabilities in terry towel and bed sheet production – from a
variety of fibres and yarns to a range of colours
and a complete collection of performance finishes and surface decorations.
-
Of late, India’s share in the global home textiles
market is on the rise and has been increasing at a rate of 15
per cent yoy. India also commands the third largest marketshare
in the Asia-Pacific home textile market. This trend puts Trident – a highly
capable manufacturer of bedsheets and bath
linen — in a sweet spot as the export share of the company is
on the increase. Its market share in terry towel exports to the
US has shot up from 10 per cent in
2014 to around 20 per cent by now.
-
The paper business
contributes around 20 per cent to the
turnover of the company. Trident is
the largest manufacturer of wheat
straw-based paper in the country.
The company has a significant presence in copier paper which accounts
for around 60 per cent of the
company’s paper sales. As copier
paper commands high margins, the
company has concentrated on the
production, quality and sales of this segment.
-
As all the divisions are doing very well, Trident is
taking rapid strides on the financial front. During the last
seven years, its sales turnover has expanded from Rs 3,737
crore in fiscal 2015 to Rs 4,249 crore in fiscal 2019, before
declining to Rs 4,538 crore in fiscal 2021. As the
pandemic’s impact is on the wane, things have started improving at a fast pace.
In Q1 of fiscal 2022, the company
has achieved a sales turnover of Rs 1,477 crore as compared to Rs 708 crore in
the corresponding quarter a year
ago, and has earned a net profit of Rs 203.50 crore as
against just Rs 10.10 crore in the earlier period. Going
ahead, the company is expected to make rapid strides as
its home textile products are very much in demand in overseas markets. The
company will get the benefit from its
strong long-term experience of being a leading player with
a fully integrated manufacturing set-up. Trident appears to
be at the start of a high-growth cycle driven by (a) remarkable growth in the
bed linen segment, (b) higher utilisation
in the bath linen segment, (c) a growing
share in the global market and a high
paper business margin driven by
branded copier paper
Shares of the company are available
around Rs 40/41 (face value Re 1) and
are worth investing in with a long-term
perspective.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Series
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
RONW (%)
|
2018-19
|
5219.52
|
370.92
|
7.30
|
30.0
|
6.10
|
12.90
|
2019-20
|
4727.67
|
337.89
|
0.70
|
36.0
|
6.00
|
11.27
|
2020-21 (E)
|
4530.62
|
345.74
|
0.60
|
36.0
|
6.50
|
10.43
|
2021-22 (E)
|
4913.15
|
372.65
|
0.95
|
40.0
|
6.76
|
11.40
|