Portfolio Choice     

Published: Dec 15, 2022
Updated: Dec 15, 2022

DIXON TECHNOLOGIES (INDIA)
BSE ticker code 540699
NSE ticker code DIXON
Major activity Consumer Electronics
Managing Director Sunil Vachan
Equity capital Rs. 11.87 crore; FV Rs. 02
52 week high/low Rs. 5859 / Rs. 3185
CMP Rs. 4084.80
Market Capitalisation Rs. 24320.71 crore
Recommendation Accumulate at declines
Spanning electronics segments

Dixon Technologies is an undisputed leader in the outsourced electronics manufacturing services (EMS) industry and a supplier to varous multinational and domestic companies in India. The company operates in both original equipment manufacturing (OEM) and original design manufacturing (ODM). Incorporated in 1993, it started with the manufacturing of colour televisions and is today active in six business segments — (1) consumer electronics, mainly televisions, (2) lighting solutions, mainly LED lights, (3) home appliances, mainly washing machines, (4) mobile and EMS, (5) security devices, mainly CCTVs and DVRs, and (6) reverse logistics.

The company has a leadership position with a 40 per cent marketshare in LED TVs and 50 per cent in the lighting segment in India based on capacity. In home appliances, its share is 9 per cent and in mobiles around 12 per cent. In the last two segments, it has just begun and the share is bound to go up with the passage of time.

The ODM revenue contribution to the company increased from 22 per cent in fiscal 2017 to 42 per cent in fiscal 2022. This was largely through expansion in backward integration and an improved ability in designing and developing products through in-house R&D. While a chunk of the revenue comes from the OEM business, of late the company has increased its focus on raising the ODM share in consumer electronics and lighting.

Dixon can boast of marquee clients, including global multinationals like Samsung, Xiaomi, Motorola, Panasonic and Phillips, and domestic majors like Voltas-Beko, Havells, Lloyd, Godrej, Bajaj Electricals and Crompton.

FAST GROWTH

The company is growing at a fast pace, with sales during the last 10 years growing at a CAGR of 34 per cent and the profit at net level inching up to a CAGR of 40 per cent.

Prospects ahead are all the more promising as it has emerged as one of the largest beneficiaries of the government’s production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme designed to promote ‘Make in India’. It is an excellent buy for discerning investors. Consider:

  • The emergent domestic EMS industry valued at around $ 25 billion is heading for rapid growth. According to experts, the Indian EMS segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 45 per cent over the next five years to emerge as a $ 150 billion industry. The ‘China +1’ strategy being adopted by global multinationals, along with various government measures, will help boost the domestic EMS industry going forward, and Dixon, being one of the undisputed leaders in the segment but having less than a 5 per cent marketshare, is bound to benefit substantially. The company’s manufacturing capacity in LED TVs, washing machines and LED lighting can serve 26 per cent, 28 per cent and 45 per cent of total domestic requirements (in volume terms) respectively.
  • Domestic mobile production is set to grow at least five times to cross over 1 million crore by fiscal 2026, according to experts. This domestic mobile production is under the government’s PLI scheme and the company has started reaping the benefits from last year. During the next three years, the company’s mobile production is expected to grow multifold – at least 14 to 15 times. Dixon has now applied for PLI in lighting, electronic wearables and other electronic products like laptops and notebooks. This opens up a significant growth opportunity for Dixon going forward. During the first half (January to June) of 2022, the company received around Rs 10 crore under the PLI scheme and is likely to receive Rs 18 crore in telecom and Rs 20 crore in lighting under the scheme.
  • All the existing verticals of the company are doing very well and it has now forayed into new verticals through various joint ventures under the PLI scheme. The company has joined hands with Japanbased Rexxam for a joint venture and to set up a manufacturing facility in Noida for the manufacture of printed circuit boards. This is operational now and has strong revenue potential. The company is now negotiating with a Japanese brand as its customer in the WM space. In the mobile phone segment it is going to add one more client apart from Motorola, Nokia and Samsung. With a view to driving future revenue growth, it is planning to enter new segments like refrigerators, electronic and IT products, telecom products and AC components.

BIG CAPEX

  • The company is in an expansion mode. For fiscal year 2022, it has spent Rs 400 crore for its capital expenditure programme and its capex for fiscal 2023 is around Rs 350 crore. Dixon has expanded its annual capacity in LED TVs to 6 million sets, including backward integration in LCM and SMT lines. The company is further investing in additional SMT lines and a complete assembly line for TVs, besides an injection moulding line in the 4.50 lakh sq ft Tirupati campus. It has procured a large order for LED TVs from one of the largest global brands and this order will push up the LED TV volume growth by 40 per cent in the current fiscal. It has also received orders for LED monitors from two of the largest global brands.
  • In the case of mobile phones, Dixon’s order book for Samsung smartphones has already increased to 1.5 million/month and could grow to 1.7 million/month. In order to meet this increased demand, the company has acquired a 0.2 million sq ft facility in Noida. In the case of home appliances, the company has ramped up the capacity of washing machines, mainly the semi-automatic category, to 2.4 million units in Dehradun. In the lighting division, the company plans to invest Rs 100 crore over five years to ramp up the lighting business. Further, in security systems, the capacity has been ramped up from 10 million units per year to 14 million units.
  • With the rising demand for its products, the company is going from strength to strength on the financial front. During the last 11 years, its consolidated sales turnover has expanded by almost 19 times – from Rs 572 crore in fiscal 2012 to Rs 10,697 crore in fiscal 2022, with operating profit skyrocketing almost 77 times from Rs 5 crore to Rs 384 crore and net profit rising to Rs 190 crore, in striking contrast to a loss of Rs 7 crore in 2012. The company’s financial position is very strong, with reserves at the end of March 31, 2022 standing at Rs 1,100 crore against a tiny equity capital of Rs 12 crore.

SECTOR GROWTH

Prospects going ahead are all the more promising. The Indian electronic manufacturing services (EMS) industry is on the growth path and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 45 per cent over the next five years to emerge as a $ 162 billion industry. The ‘China+one’ strategy by various global multinationals and distinct government measures like ‘Make in India’, ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ and production-linked incentives will help boost the domestic EMS industry. Dixon, being one of the largest EMS players, is well set to reap the benefits of these growth opportunities.

Again, the outlook for the company going ahead remains robust on account of (a) mobile production going up and the PLI benefit, (b) value and volume growth of LED TV business, (c) global business opportunities in lighting, (d) foray into several new verticals, (e) commodity prices softening which will improve the margins, (f) the company’s entry into export markets with an order from the UAE and an order expected from the US very soon, (g) a strong order book and robust growth prospects, (h) healthy return ratios, and (i) a lean working capital cycle and high fixed asset turnover. All these will support Dixon’s valuation.

The company’s stock is traded around Rs 3,990. With robust growth prospects ahead, the share price can touch Rs 4,500 in the short term and Rs 5,000 in the medium term.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2019-20 4400.10 120.50 104.10 40.0 467.90 18.20
2020-21 6448.20 159.80 27.20 50.0 125.70 25.00
2021-22 10697.08 189.77 31.90 100.0 186.60 21.89
AGI GREENPAC
BSE ticker code 500187
NSE ticker code AGI
Major activity Packaging
Chairman Rajendra Kumar Somany
Equity capital Rs. 12.94 crore; FV Rs. 02
52 week high/low Rs. 408 / Rs. 178
CMP Rs. 315.70
Market Capitalisation Rs. 2042.50 crore
Recommendation Buy at declines
A-Z of glass packaging

Hyderabad-based AGI Greenpac is a leading glass container packaging company. The company manufactures glass packaging containers ranging from 5 ml to 4,000 ml and has an average capacity of meeting 1,600 tonnes of glass per day. The company has two strategically located state-of-the-art manufacturing plants, one in Hyderabad and the other at Bhongir (Telangana). The company continues to implement new and customized products to cater to the everevolving needs of customers and leads the sector in adopting sustainable practices. AGI is doing quite well on the financial front, and its consolidated sales during the last five years have grown at a CAGR of 7 per cent and operating profit at a CAGR of 13 per cent. What is more, prospects going ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

  • The past decade has witnessed significant changes in the packaging products industry, driven by a host of factors such as new market penetration, the emergence of contactless delivery and changing ownership dynamics across the world. Glass packaging is a premium variety and one of the most trusted forms of packaging for health, taste and environmental safety. This ensures its continuous usage worldwide, across a range of end-user industries, despite the heavy competition from other packaging segments like plastics. In India, the packaging industry is estimated to report a CAGR of 26.7 per cent during the 5-year period from 2022 to 2027. The factors driving the demand for packaging can be attributed to the rising population, growing income levels, changing lifestyles and increased internet penetration.
  • AGI’s glass bottles are widely used in pharmaceuticals, foods and beverages, and wine, as well as other hard drinks segments. Almost all leading companies in these sectors use the company’s bottles on account of their quality, regular and easy supplies and reasonable pricing policy. Little wonder that by now AGI has become the second largest glass container company in India and its products are widely exported to several countries.
  • The company has set up a most modern state-ofthe-art plant at Bhongir in Telangana to manufacture speciality glass with an annual capacity of 154 tpd. The plant, set up in line with the ‘Make in India’ and ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ vision of the government, will reduce the dependence on imports and promote sustainability. The plant will focus on clear glass products such as cosmetics and perfumery, water bottles, candle jars, and food and beverages, as well as the premium spirits segments. According to Rajesh Khosla, President of the company, “This is a one-of-its-kind speciality container glass plant and will generate additional annual revenue of Rs 250 crore at a CAGR of 10 per cent year-on-year. This plant symbolizes our vision for the future where we are committed to producing world class, innovative products using globally benchmarked manufacturing systems and practices.”
  • The company is steadily growing on the financial front. During the last 12 years, its consolidated sales turnover has expanded from Rs 1,028 crore in fiscal 2011 to Rs 2,250 crore in fiscal 2018 but the Covid-19 pandemic reduced its pace of growth and sales declined to Rs 1,605 crore in fiscal 2019 and further to Rs 1,430 crore in fiscal 2022. Likewise, the operating profit has inched up from Rs 213 crore in 2011 to Rs 324 crore in 2016, before declining to Rs 265 crore in fiscal 2022. However, the profit at net level has shot up from Rs 87 crore in 2011 to Rs 193 crore in 2022. Prospects ahead are highly encouraging — sales in the current year are expected to touch the Rs 2,000-crore mark and net profit to reach the Rs 300-crore mark. With the speciality glass plant going on stream, sales are very likely to cross the Rs 5,000-crore mark and net profit to touch Rs 500 crore within the next five years.
  • The share price is quoted around Rs 309. Investors can buy these stocks with a long-term perspective to reap a rich harvest.

CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2019-20 1859.10 46.50 6.40 150.0 173.90 3.70
2020-21 1852.60 90.50 14.00 200.0 190.70 7.30
2021-22 1430.43 133.42 20.60 250.0 225.70 10.16
SOUTH INDIAN BANK
BSE ticker code 532218
NSE ticker code SOUTHBANK
Major activity Private Sector Bank
Managing Director Salim Gangadharan
Equity capital Rs. 209.27; FV Re. 01
52 week high/low Rs. 20 / Rs. 7
CMP Rs. 19.55
Market Capitalisation Rs. 4091.31 crore
Recommendation Buy at declines
Strategising to speed up growth

Thrissur-based South Indian Bank, which is going to celebrate its first century five years hence, is a leading private sector scheduled bank of south India. Though chiefly a regional entity, the bank has spread its footprint throughout the century with 933 branches, 53 extension centres, 4 service branches, 18 regional offices and 1,400 ATMs. The bank’s business is largely skewed towards the southern states, with half of the branches located in Kerala. It has established a strong brand recall among the Keralite NRI diaspora.

With no identifiable promoters, the bank is run by a team of 9 professionals. It was the first Indian private sector bank to open an NRI branch in 1992, and an industrial finance branch in 1993. Though the CAGR of the bank during the last 10 years is of 6 per cent, in terms of profit, it is 20 per cent negative. However, prospects for the company going ahead are quite encouraging. Consider:

  • Having suffered from its erstwhile policy of concentrating on corporate loans, the bank has now decided to focus on the retail, MSME and agri segments. The bank’s retail portfolio growth is now largely driven by the LAP (58 per cent yoy) and gold loans (53 per cent yoy) segments. The bank is also focused on increasing its CASA and NRI deposits. The outcome of these steps was remarkable and is well reflected in the Q2FY2023 performance. Interest income (NII) during Q2FY2023 (July to September 2022) stood at Rs 726 crore — the highest quarterly NII ever in the last 20 quarters. And net interest margin improved by 12 bps yoy to 3.21 per cent as compared to 2.49 per cent in the corresponding quarter.
  • An analysis of the bank’s financial performance reflects that it has turned the corner from the current year. Though during the last 12 years, the bank’s revenues expanded from Rs 2,446 crore in fiscal 2011 to Rs 6,587 crore, its profit at the net level has slumped from Rs 293 crore to Rs 45 crore, pushing down its EPS from Rs 1.94 to Re 0.21. However, the bank has staged a remarkable in the current year, with the actual disbursement in the first half (April to September 2022) shooting up to Rs 8,809 crore and a net profit of Rs 223 crore in striking contrast to a loss of Rs 187 crore in the corresponding first half last year. If the working in the second half so far is any indication, the bank is going to put up a heartwarming performance in the current fiscal ending March 2023.

FOCUS ON 6Cs

  • With a view to revamping the bank to remain competitive, the management headed by Murali Ramakrishnan, MD and CEO, has devised a strategy for the near- to longterm with a focus on 6Cs. The bank aims at launching new products, creating a robust operational team supported by a technology platform and revamping credit policy with a focus on quality, leveraging the existing and new talent pool to improve underwriting through training, building strong analytical tools for portfolio and improved collection through analytics, managing NPAs through a focus on recoveries, and rationalisation of branches and ATMs. The bank has set its vision for 2024 with philosophy of ‘Fair to Customers, Fair to Bank’.
  • As per the strategy, the bank will focus on 6Cs for the next three years. these 6Cs are: ((1) Capital (the bank will be raising capital — equity plus debt — amounting to Rs 1,250 crore in tranches), (2) CASA (building a low-cost CASA book by building relationships at the branch level while on the NRI front it will expand its horizons to target NRIs around the world), (3) C/I ratio (the bank will reduce C/I by increasing income or reducing cost), (4) Competency Building (the bank will strive for reorienting the organizational structure by leveraging existing talent), (5) Customer Focus (the bank will be focusing on adherence to higher integrity standards and zero tolerance for internal and external non-adherence). The management hopes that this strategy will change the shape and size of the bank.
  • The bank will continue to focus on retail, MSME and Agri, and will adopt a calibrated approach towards corporates. Plans have been drawn to revamp existing products and launch new retail products like LAS, SBL, IPO funding, dealer funding, tractor funding, etc. The bank will also focus on improvement in the yield of products and strong product growth.

EXPERTS BULLISH

All these new strategies, if properly implemented, will go a long way in transforming a hitherto weak bank into a strong entity with a steady pace of growth ahead.

Little wonder, several experts, including Rajen Shah of Angel Stock Broking, Renuka Ramanth of Multiple Equity, Ramdeo Agarwal of Motilal Oswal, and Yusuf Ali, a prominent HNI, strongly recommend South Indian Bank for investment.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Series Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%) RONW (%)
2019-20 8809.10 104.30 0.60 -- 28.50 2.00
2020-21 8490.60 61.70 0.30 -- 25.40 1.20
2021-22 7620.29 44.66 0.20 -- 29.80 --

February 15, 2025 - First Issue

Industry Review

VOL XVI - 10
February 01-15, 2025

Formerly Fortune India Managing Editor Deven Malkan Assistant Editor A.K. Batha President Bhupendra Shah Circulation Executive Warren Sequeira Art Director Prakash S. Acharekar Graphic Designer Madhukar Thakur Investment Analysis CI Research Bureau Anvicon Research DD Research Bureau Manager (Special Projects) Bhagwan Bhosale Editorial Associates New Delhi Ranjana Arora Bureau Chief Kolkata Anirbahn Chawdhory Gujarat Pranav Brahmbhatt Bureau Cheif Mobile: 098251-49108 Bangalore Jaya Padmanabhan Bureau Chief Chennai S Gururajan Bureau Chief (Tamil Nadu) Ludhiana Ajitkumar Vijh Bhubaneshwar Braja Bandhu Behera

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