Portfolio Choice     

Published: December 31, 2023
Updated: December 31, 2023

NIPPON LIFE INDIAASSET MANAGEMENT (NAM)
BSE ticker code 540767
NSE ticker code NAM-INDIA
Major activity Asset Management Company
CEO Sundeep Sikka
Equity capital Rs 624.79 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 454/ Rs 197
CMP Rs 22.75
Market Capitalisation Rs 27,613.54 crore
Recommendation Buy
Industry-best player in ETFs

Nippon Life India Asset Management (NAM), formerly known as Reliance Nippon Life India Asset Management, is the asset manager of Nippon India Mutual Fund. The promoter, Nippon Life Insurance Company, which holds a 73.64 per cent equity stake in NAM, is Japan’s leading private life insurer and offers a wide range of financial products, including individual and group life and annuity policies through various distribution channels.

It primarily operates in Japan, North America, Europe, Oceania and Asia. The Indian company is steadily growing on the financial front. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover has more than doubled from Rs 733 crore in fiscal year 2012 to Rs 1,512 crore in fiscal 2023, with operating profit more than trebling from Rs 301 crore to Rs 959 crore and the net profit also more than trebling from Rs 230 crore to Rs 723 crore. What is more, prospects ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

  • The company has started doing better in the current year. It closed Q2 FY2024 ending September 2023 with assets under management of Rs 4.35 trillion and mutual funds quarterly average AUM grew 12% Q-o-Q to 7.46% with the marketshare increasing across most categories. Apart from equity, it also gained marketshare in other segments including 33 basis points Q-o-Q improvement in the liquid segment and 16 basis points Q-o-Q improvement in the ETF segment.
  • The company’s B-30 AUM grew 13.9% Q-o-Q to Rs 719 billion, which makes it amongst the fastest growing large AMCs in B-30 locations. Marketshare improved 25 basis points Q-o-Q to 8.58 per cent. This segment forms 30 per cent of AUM as compared to 18 per cent for the industry.
  • LARGE MF BASE
  • The company added 1.2 million investors’ portfolios in the quarter and continued have the largest base in the mutual fund industry with 14.6 million unique investors. The company has one out of three mutual fund investors in India.
  • Systematic flows are a stable and a key driver for the industry’s long-term equity flows. There has been a continued uptick NAM’s systematic flows over the last 9 quarters, which has led to increase in marketshare. The company’s monthly systematic book rose by 42% to Rs 17.3 billion for September 2023 over June 2023. This resulted in an analyzed systematic book of Rs 208 billion. 64% of its SIP AUM has continued for over 5 years versus 26% for the industry. This bodes well for the volatile markets where folios with low ticket size have demonstrated longer vintage and better stickiness. 16% of its SIP folios have continued for more than 5 years against an industry average of 12%.
  • The company enjoys a first-mover advantage in passive/ETF/alternates funds. It’s Alternative Investment Fund currently offers products across four business lines; namely, Public Equity, Real Estate Credit, Structured Credit and tech/VC FoF. Total committed capital raised for Alternative stood at Rs 57.8 bn in Q2FY24. Fund raising is underway for Public Equity and Real Estate AIF schemes while tech/VC FoF is in an advanced stage of deployment with nearly 80% of committed capital raised been deployed across 12 tech/VC funds. In Q2FY24, NAM internally moved a senior resource, Aashwin Dugal, as Deputy Head of Business of Nippon India AIF to strengthen the AIF business. The AIF business is headed by Aashwin Chugani who was hired during Q1FY24.
  • INDUSTRY LEADER
  • NAM India offers an industry-best suite of passive funds with an ETF ecosystem, which is already in place and far ahead of the peers in terms of investor base and mindshare. It continues to be one of the largest ETF players with an AUM of Rs 808 billion and a marketshare of 14%. The Gold ETF fund is the largest in the category, having assets of Rs 78 billion. Its share in the industry’s ETF folios is 61%. It has a 67% share of ETF volumes on the NSE and the BSE. Its ETF’s average daily volumes across key funds remain far higher than the rest of the industry
  • The company’s physical distribution base is well diversified and with a wide presence through 265 locations across the country. It has over 95,600 distributors in total and added roughly 2,600 new distributors during this quarter.
  • Mutual Fund penetration in India is low as a percentage of GDP vs global average. Less than 3% of India’s population invests in MFs. Mutual Fund investors have increased at a 21% CAGR over FY20-23. In the last decade, households have increasingly preferred financial assets over physical assets to achieve longterm savings goals. Due to overall industry AUM growth, strong retail franchise and good fund performance, NAM India has gained marketshare across all categories, namely equity (30 bps), SIP flows (300 bps) and SIP book (46 bps). NAM also maintains its industry-leading position in the passive and alternate funds segment.
  • E.P.F.O. MANAGER

    NAM India will receive about Rs 15,000 crore per year for management of the EPFO corpus and will charge about 4 bps, which would add Rs 5-6 crore per annum to the company’s bottomline. Also, the management highlighted that a notable traction is seen in the hybrid category, wherein hybrid having a 65% share in equity having higher yields equivalent to equity asset class. SIP inflows continue to remain strong as well as sticky, wherein 64% of SIP AUM have continued for 5 years. Thus, after a healthy H1FY24, the momentum is expected to continue going forward. India has a lower penetration of mutual funds and thus NAM India is in a good position to improve its AUM growth going forward, as it is one of the fastest growing AMC in B-30 cities and has a strong distributor base. This will help the company deliver sustainable operating profit and return ratios going forward. The company remains focused on sustaining profitable growth via a strong distribution network, digital capabilities, consistent fund performance and risk management. In FY 2024, we expect the company to register sales EPS of Rs 14.8 and EPS of Rs 19.1 for FY 2025. The scrip trades at Rs 441. P/E on FY 2025 EPS works out to 23.1.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2022-23 1349.82 723.33 11.6 11.5 56.41
2023-24 (E) 1561.84 926.19 14.8 14.1 57.13
2024-25 (E) 1908.49 1190.85 19.1 18.1 58.09
TIME TECHNOPLAST
BSE ticker code 532856
NSE ticker code TIMETECHNO
Major activity Plastic Products – Industrial
MD Bharat Vageria
Equity capital Rs 22.618 crore; FV Re 1
52 week high/low Rs 189 / Rs 70
CMP Rs 185
Market Capitalisation Rs 4,176.93 crore
Recommendation Buy
Riding polymer product expertise

Time Technoplast, the flagship of the Time group, an Indian multinational conglomerate, is engaged in the manufacture of technology-based polymer and composite products. The company’s product portfolio consists of technologically driven innovative products catering to growing industry segments like industrial packaging solutions, lifestyle products, automotive components, healthcare products, infrastructure, construction-related products, material handling solutions and composite cylinders.

The Time Tech group operates more than 34 production facilities across the globe and is recognized for its innovative plastic products. It operates in India, Egypt, Bahrain, Indonesia, Malaysia, the UAE, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia and the US.

Today, globally, the Time group is the largest manufacturer of large-size plastic drums, the second largest manufacturer of composite cylinders and the third largest manufacturer of intermediate bulk containers. Since its inception in 1992, the Time Tech group has set itself apart from competitors by focusing on research and development, futuristic product designing, and superior customer service by setting up 28 manufacturing units and 8 regional and marketing offices. All these have enabled the group to develop new innovative products as a replacement for metal products by using polymers and employing plastic processing technologies like blow, injection and extrusion.

The company has made steady progress on the financial front. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover (composite growth) has expanded from Rs 1,510 crore in fiscal 2012 to Rs 4,289 crore in fiscal 2023, with operating profit more than doubling from Rs 243 crore to Rs 577 crore and the profit at net level also more than doubling from Rs 92 crore to Rs 224 crore. What is more, in view of the company’s growth plans, the prospects for it going ahead are very bright. Consider:

  • The company is changing its product mix to earn more profit. The improved product mix is expected to drive the EBITDA margin from the current level of 12.5 per cent to 15.5 per cent by fiscal 2025. The company has laid out plans to achieve Rs 5,000 crore revenue (per annum) from its newly launched CNG cascade business. This improved product mix is expected to drive the EBITDA margin to 15.5 per cent by fiscal 2025. In fact, the company has laid out plans to achieve Rs 5,000 crore revenue by fiscal 2025, led by the value-added product segment.
  • The future improved trend is well- reflected in the actual performance during the first half of the current fiscal. During the period from April to September 2023, sales grew 15 per cent to Rs 2,271.53 crore, and OPM improved 70 bps to 13.7 per cent which took operating profit up 27 per cent to Rs 1.24 crore. Net profit shot up 34 per cent to Rs 158.52 crore. Now, the management is confident of achieving the revenue target of Rs 5,000 crore by fiscal 2025.
  • OVERSEAS BIZ
  • The company has planned to restructure its overseas business to capture reconstruction in Asian countries and the Middle East, and aims at growth through joint ventures/investments of subsidiaries/ material subsidiaries/step down subsidiaries. It is currently in the final stage of discussions with prospective investors, and is confident of closing the transaction. The sale proceeds will be used for the repayment of its debt, capex for composite cylinders, LPG, CNG and hydrogen. In order to benefit shareholders, the company has signed an MoU for selling its land and building located in northern India for a total consideration of Rs 26.5 crore. The proceeds will be used partly for reduction of debt and partly towards the expansion of existing established and value-added products.

  • In a significant development, Time Securities Services Pvt. Ltd, the promoter company of Time Technoplast, has fully repaid the outstanding loan in the process, the pledged 62,93,120 shares of Time Technoplast were released. Now, the promoters’ 100 per cent shareholding is free from any pledge. This development will go a long way in re-rating the company in due course.
  • The company is in expansion mode. During the first half of the current fiscal, capex was Rs 99 crore. This was for expansion of value-added products like CNG/BC (Rs 59 crore) and normal capex (Rs 44 crore). An almost similar amount will be spent in the second half.
  • O.M.C. DEMAND
  • The next phase of expansion would come from its investments in manufacturing of LPG and CNG composite cylinders. According to management estimates, this expansion would lead to business potential of Rs 2,200 crore per year in the cylinders business. The strong demand for composite LPG cylinders from oil marketing companies and a healthy order book for the CNG car business will drive the value-added segment going forward. The company will continue to benefit from its dominant market position, diversified product range and client profile with better economies of scale and wide geographical reach. In FY 2024, we expect the company to register sales EPS of Rs 13.2, which is expected to rise to Rs 16.8 in FY 2025. The stock trades at Rs 184. P/E on the FY 2025 projected EPS works out to just 10.9.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2022-23 4289.44 223.77 9.9 125 72.29
2023-24 (E) 4973.15 299.23 13.2 135 84.17
2024-25 (E) 5719.12 380.07 16.8 150 99.48
GRAUER & WEIL INDIA
BSE ticker code 505710
NSE ticker code GRAUWEIL
Major activity Chemicals
Chairman Umeshkumar More
Equity capital Rs 27.67 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 145 / Rs 79
CMP Rs 129
Market Capitalisation Rs 2,938.11 crore
Recommendation Buy
Trendsetter in metal finishing

Grauer & Weil India, popularly known as Growel and originally set up by British nationals Grawer and Weil, was later taken over by the More group. It is a trendsetter in the general metal finishing industry and a formidable player in the field of surface finishing and engineering of equipment. Subsequently it entered the paints industry with the acquisition of Bombay Paints. It also entered the real estate business and built a sprawling 4,75,000 square feet shopping mall in Kandivali, a western suburb of Mumbai.

The company is one of the few in the world that offers complete coating solutions to its customers under one roof. Its engineering division also manufactures and supplies automatic plating lines phosphating plants, painting plants and filtration systems to meet end-to-end surface finishing requirements of its customers.

In short, the company operates in three broad business segments – surface finishing (which accounts for 83 per cent of revenues), engineering (13 per cent of revenues) and shopping mall (4 per cent of revenues). The surface finishing segment comprises the chemicals division, paints division and oil division. Under the chemicals division, it manufactures chemicals required for metal finishing (electroplating chemicals), their intermediates and other speciality chemicals. In the paints division, it manufactures industrial paints, and under the oil division it manufactures various oils, including chain oil coolant oil, wire drawing oil, gear oil and hydraulic oil. The company’s facilities are located at Dadar, Vapi (Gujarat), Barotiwala (HP), Samba (J&K), Khed (Pune district in Maharashtra) and Kandivali-Mumbai (the mall).

LOW DEBT

Grauer & Weil has made steady progress on the financial front, with compounded sales growth during the last 10 years being 12 per cent and profit growth 15 per cent. What is more, prospects ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

  • The company is on a steady growth path. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover has grown from Rs 326 crore in fiscal 2012 to Rs 981 crore in fiscal 2023, with operating profit inching up from Rs 59 crore to Rs 156 crore and the profit at net level spurting around five times – from Rs 23 crore to Rs 115 crore. The company’s fundamentals are strong. The ROE and ROCE stood at 17.91 % and 23.76% respectively, which suggests good returns for shareholders’ capital and efficiency in the utilization of company resources. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 suggests that the company has low debt and primarily uses its own funds to run its operations. Talking about the shareholding pattern, it can be said that the promoters have consistently held a stake of 69.05 per cent for the past several quarters, indicating their confidence in the company’s future prospects.
  • The electroplating chemicals division has a wide basket of products and these chemicals find applications in various industries such as automobiles, home fittings, consumer durables, gems and jewellery – all of which are doing quite well. Moreover, the company is also involved in the manufacture of industrial paints — the second largest contributor to the company’s revenues. Last year, it forayed into the decorative paints segment and intends to leverage its industrial clientele base to increase revenue from this segment.
  • PLATING DEMAND
  • Plating on plastic is one of the largest markets growing within the plating industry, as manufacturers are cutting costs by utilizing plastic for a wide of parts – from washing machines to car logos. These parts are then plated with a crome or nickel finish for decoration to increase attractiveness of the two major consumer-facing markets — automotive and home appliances – that are driving the demand for plating on plastic. And Growel is a leading player in this area.
  • In the area of paint coatings, there are big opportunities in India due to huge investments in oil and gas, infrastructure and drinking water segment. Growel al ready has a strong presence in these markets and will continue to pursue it strongly. For H1, net sales increased 11.64% to Rs 450.75 crore. Net profit increased 30.87% to Rs 74.36 crore. In FY 2024, we expect the company to register a sales EPS of Rs 6.9, which is expected to rise to Rs 9.1 in FY 2025. The stock trades at Rs 129. P/E on the FY 2025 EPS.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Series Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2022-23 981.62 112,96 5.0 80% 29.96
2023-24 (E) 1140.73 155.40 6.9 85% 35.96
2024-25 (E) 1316.40 205.44 9.1 90% 44.13

February 15, 2025 - First Issue

Industry Review

VOL XVI - 10
February 01-15, 2025

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