TD POWER SYSTEMS
BSE ticker code |
533553 |
NSE ticker code |
TDPOWERSYS |
Major activity |
Heavy Electrical Equipment |
CEO |
Nikhil Kumar |
Equity capital |
Rs 31.23 crore; FV Rs 2 |
52 week high/low |
Rs 288 / Rs 96 |
CMP |
Rs 277 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs 4321.23 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy |
Bumper orders for motors, turbines
TD Power Systems (TDPS) is one of
the world’s leading manufacturers of AC generators. The
company has subsidiary offices in Germany, Japan and the
US, and a world-class manufacturing facility in Turkey.
TDPS has its own technology for generators up to 60
MW for 4-pole generators and is a licensee of Siemens AG
for 2-pole generators from 60 MW up to 200 MW.
After a lot of R & D and with an efficient state of the art
facility, it also designs and manufactures
custom-made synchronous and induction motors for various applications.
The company serves power sectors like thermal, hydroelectric, oil &
gas, marine, geothermal, and wind. In
addition, it supplies electric traction
motors for the railway industry.
The company has been earning
well. During the last 12 years, though
its sales turnover has declined from
Rs 1,032 crore in fiscal 2012 to Rs
873 crore in fiscal 2023, its operating
profit has gone up from Rs 95 crore to Rs 134 crore and the
profit at net level has inched up from Rs 67 crore to Rs 97
crore. Prospects for the company going ahead are quite promising. Consider:
-
TDPS signed an agreement with BRUSH and Baker
Hughes for production of BRUSH generators for the world
market and a second agreement for sale of TDPS generators
to Baker Hughes for the industrial markets worldwide.
BRUSH is one of the most famous and well-known generator companies in the world with a focus on oil and gas,
especially in the area of offshore platforms and LNG. TDPS
and BRUSH intend to capitalize on the big expansion of the
investment taking place in LNG and oil & gas, which is
being carried out worldwide to replace Russian supplies.
TURBINE POWER
- z In the generator business, in steam turbines, the
domestic market continues to be extremely strong with a robust order inflow from all segments of the market. In addition, it is also seeing strong traction from international
OEMs in the European market. This segment is providing a
strong foundation for its growth for next year. In gas turbines, it has very strong inquiry pipeline as well as orders. It
received the first new order for 2 to 16 megawatt units with
Baker Hughes turbines. This is the first order in this segment with this OEM, and the management says that it will
continue to see larger orders in this
segment in the next few quarters.
ENTERTAINMENT NETWORK INDIA
BSE ticker code |
532700 |
NSE ticker code |
ENIL |
Major activity |
Media & Entertainment |
CEO |
Vineet Jain |
Equity capital |
Rs 27.67 crore; FV Rs 10 |
52 week high/low |
Rs 200 / Rs 110 |
CMP |
Rs 190 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs 903.59 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy |
Leading player in FM radio
Entertainment Network (India) (ENIL), a
leading city-centric media company, operates FM radio
broadcasting stations under the brand ‘Mirchi’ in 63 Indian
cities. The promoter of ENIL, Bennett, Coleman & Co Limited (BCCL), is the flagship company of The Times of India
group, which has a heritage of 175 years and is one of
India’s leading media groups.
ENIL has a track record of developing innovative content, thus expanding and retaining its audiences
and advertisers through the years. In
addition to FM radio, ENIL provides
entertainment in the form of videos,
on-ground live events and even content that it creates for TV broadcast.
The core of its business model involves monetizing listenership and
viewership via advertising. Radio
Mirchi is the No. 1 private FM radio
network in India in terms of listeners, as reported by the last
IRS in 2019.
About two-thirds of the company’s revenues
come from its core FM radio operations, while the rest comes
from its solutions, digital and other products. The company
monetises not only its FM radio listenership but also its
extensive presence in on-ground events, TV properties, and
the solutions that it provides to clients using multiple-media
combinations. It also has an extensive bouquet of digital
products which it offers to advertisers in its selling efforts.
The company has made steady progress in its financial
performance. During the last 12 years, its sales have gone from
Rs 311 crore in fiscal 2012 to Rs 440 crore in the fiscal 2023.
However, operating profit has declined from Rs 100 crore to
Rs 71 crore, and at the net level the company has incurred a
loss of Rs 11 crore against a net profit of Rs 56 crore. But the
prospects going ahead are encouraging. Consider:
-
The radio business in India suffered due to heavy licensing fees and digital competition. However, recent recommendations from Trai, including allowing news on FM
channels and making FM receivers mandatory on mobile
phones, may revive the medium. These changes could increase listenership, reduce costs and attract more advertisers, giving radio a brighter future. Trai’s recommendation
aims to counteract manufacturers who disable radio features to promote their own services.
HUGE LICENCE FEE
-
In the past, the licence
fee was pegged at 4% of gross revenue (including GST or 2.5% of
the one-time entry fee for a city,
whichever is higher). For example, in Delhi the highest bid
was Rs 169 crore, so the licence
fee would be about Rs 4.2 crore
even if the station was not earning in the first few years. This applied even to companies
that had migrated from phase II to phase III, punishing players who had not bid at those prices. Going by Trai’s analysis, 182 stations paid a licence fee of over 4% of revenues
and 34 stations paid a licences fee that was 30% of revenues in FY 2021-2022 But now, Trai suggests that the
licence fee be delinked from the non-refundable one-time
entry fee and that it should be calculated as 4% of gross
revenue, excluding GST. This will help push costs down
anywhere between 10-40%calculating the license fee as 4%
of gross revenue, excluding GST. The US with a population
of 300 million has over 15,000 radio stations generating
almost $ 22 billion in revenues. Radio thrives in the US
because of its large national and local presence.
-
Radio reach in India has stagnated because many
manufacturers disable radio receivers in the mobile phone
handset to promote their own music streaming of services
app. This is why Trai’s recommendations
that — “functions or features pertaining
to FM radio should be enabled and activated on all mobile handsets having the necessary hardware, and a standing committee will monitor
compliance by phone manufacturers and importers” — helps.
RADIO’S REACH
-
With respect to the emergency point of view, the
reason for this Trai push is that radio’s reach does not depend on bandwidth and electricity but on radio waves (frequency), making it the only communication medium that
works during disasters.
- By ensuring that FM features in mobiles are enabled, radio could potentially reach the billion-plus mobile
population, potentially doubling listenership to over 520
million. Moreover, allowing 10 minutes of news every hour
can diversify programming and attract a new category of advertisers. The icing on the cake is that the DVC rates have
been revised in the range of 50% to 60% across various
stations.
- Pre-Covid, the government used to spend a lot and
the contribution at the industry level used to be in the range
of 13% to 14%, which came down post-Covid in the range of
about 6%. But the management believes that with elections
around the corner for the Centre and states, the spend should
go up. The management is optimistic that it could go up to
about 9% to 10% at the industry level. ENIL commands a top
volume marketshare of 26.6%, marking an improvement of
120 basis points on a year-on-year basis in the September
2023 quarter.
- In Q2, the topline fell marginally by 3%. The dip in
revenue can be attributed to the non-FCT segment, partly
due to the shift in the festive season and the absence of a
significant exclusive event that occurred last year. Nonetheless, the gratifying aspect is a significant improvement in ENIL’s
overall profitability, thanks to its diligent cost rationalization
efforts over the last 6 months.
HIGH-END FOCUS
Its prudent and consistent cost rationalization endeavours
resulted in cost savings of approximately 4% to 5% during the quarter, similiar to the first quarter. Furthermore, ENIL has
deliberately focused on high-margin opportunities while selectively stepping away from low-margin deals in the market.
While this strategy may temporarily impact the topline, the
management believes it’s a crucial step for sustaining profitable market leadership. As a result, its EBITDA margins, excluding digital, improved to 26.6% in the quarter from 24.9%.
EBITDA margins for the non-FCT business improved
from 39.8% in Q2 FY23 to a whopping 47.7% in Q2 FY24.
Its dedication to sustainable and profitable growth extends to international initiatives as well. ENIL secured a revised licence fee in Bahrain, enhancing the profitability and
sustainability of its operations there. Overall, the international
business continues to be profitable this year with positive
PAT of Rs 54 lakh in Q2FY24 and Rs 1.27 crore in H1FY24.
FESTIVAL BOOST
-
The company’s balance sheet remains robust, with cash
results totalling Rs 251 crore as on September 30, 2023.
z The management anticipates that the upcoming festival season will provide a significant boost to the overall media
industry and to its business as well. Monetisation of the Mirchi
Plus app, which has 3,000 hours of content, has not yet been
done. The target is to have content of 10,000 hours. ENIL has
tied up with almost all major OTT apps. The management is
confident that H2 will see a major recovery in performance.
Although ENIL is the undisputed leader in FM Radio,
very few know that 33% of its revenue comes from the event
management business, which is growing at a faster pace.
In FY 2024, we expect the company to register sales EPS
of Rs 2.6, and EPS of Rs 6.1 for FY 2025. As on November
20, 2023 the share price closed at Rs 190. P/E on the expected FY 2025 EPS works out to 31.1
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Sales
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
2022-23
|
442.05
|
-12.39
|
-2.21
|
10
|
158.68
|
2023-24 (E)
|
461.23
|
12.58
|
2.6
|
10
|
160.3
|
2024-25 (E)
|
515.88
|
29.11
|
6.1
|
10
|
165.4
|
SEPC
BSE ticker code |
532945 |
NSE ticker code |
SEPC |
Major activity |
Civil Construction |
Chairman |
Karan Rathore |
Equity capital |
Rs 1371.43 crore; FV Rs 10 |
52 week high/low |
Rs 26 / Rs 7 |
CMP |
Rs 22.75 |
Market Capitalisation |
Rs 3,122.74 crore |
Recommendation |
Buy |
Multi-segment EPC player
SEPC (previously Shriram EPC) provides integrated
design, engineering, procurement, construction and project
management services in India and internationally. It offers
turnkey contracting solutions, including design, engineering
and construction for ferrous and non-ferrous industries, cement plants, coke oven and by-product plants, process plants,
and material handling plants, as well as transportation; water
and sewage treatment plants, intake wells and pump houses,
underground drainage systems, water distribution and pipe rehabilitation
systems; and biomass and thermal
power plants, as well as wind farms.
The company also provides engineering services for mining and mineral processing. Formerly known as
Shriram EPC Limited, it changed its
name to SEPC Limited in March 2022.
The company is an Engineering,
Procurement and Construction (EPC)
end-to-end solutions provider offering multi-disciplinary services and project management solutions. It is focused on providing turnkey solutions in the
following business areas:
1) Infrastructure: a) Water & Sewers, b) Roads
2) Process and Metallurgy: a) Process Plants,
b) Steel Plants, c) Mine Development, d) Power Plants.
PERFORMANCE DIP
The company has not performed well on the financial
front. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover has declined
from Rs 1,862 crore in fiscal 2012 to Rs 379 crore in fiscal
2023, with operating profit turning from a profit of Rs 248
crore to a loss of Rs 56 crore and at net level a profit of Rs 42
crore turning into a loss of Rs 5 crore. However, the prospects ahead are encouraging. Consider:
-
SEPC has a proven track record in executing orders
across segments such as water and waste-water distribution
and water treatment plants, process and metallurgy projects,
mines & mineral processing, and power plants, including renewable energy. The water sector especially enjoys high
potential and provides the company a significant opportunity for further growth in India and overseas
- SEPC works with various technology suppliers on
a project-specific basis. Some of the suppliers it has worked
with in the past are Primetals Metallurgy, Shandong
Goldgroup Mining, Hutni Project Metallurgy, Danieli & C
Metallurgy, SMS Mevac Metallurgy, KMG Pipe Rehabilitation,
Perco Pipe Rehabilitation, and INCO
Engineering s.r.o, Czech Republic.
-
A number of government flagship programmes are aimed
at creating immense infrastructure
development and urban transformation. Since the company has got
qualifications exactly in these areas,
the following programmes are available as a market for the company to
bid and take orders.
-
SEPC has experience of
laying roads for the Ministry of Road Transport & Highways
(MORTH). Using this qualification, SEPC proposes to bid for
new projects and augment this vertical.
- SEPC has done mine development projects using
the advanced Shaft Sinking technology for mine development.
It is qualified to do several types of mining for various minerals
like copper, gold, coal, chrome, manganese and uranium.
WIDE EXPERIENCE
- SEPC has domain knowledge and a good customer
base, having executed various projects in integrated steel
plants in areas like construction of Special Bar mills, Sinter
plants, Wire Rod mills, medium structural mills, hot strip mills,
coke ovens, coal chemical plants, coal dust injection systems,
air and oxygen turbo compressors, raw material handling
systems and secondary refining units, and has qualifications
to participate in this segment along with technology providers. SEPC has also completed the balance of plant and main
equipment erection for a 1.2 mtpa steel plant in Oman.
-
Initially, Dubai-based Mark AB
Capital LLC invested Rs 350 crore to pick
up 26.48% of fresh equity in SEPC. This is
part of a restructuring of SEPC Limited under the Stressed Asset Provisions of the RBI. As a result, Mark AB Capital became the promoter of SEPC,
while the existing promoter SVL ceased to be a promoter.
- Mark AB capital is a leading investment company/family
office headquartered out of Dubai. The company has over $1 billion
assets under management. It intends to grow the company’s EPC
business both in India and in the Middle East region by tapping into
the opportunities in the infrastructure space, including water projects.
- Following the Rs 350 crore investment for fresh equity, it
went to the banks to slash the existing debts. As part of the restructuring, the consortium of bankers has converted part of the debt, another
Rs 350 crore, into CCDs and NCDs. Consequently, SEPC’s existing
debt came below Rs 200 crore. The consortium has also paved the
way for the company to utilise its sanctioned working capital requirements from now on, enabling SEPC to handle operations smoothly.
SAUDI OFFER
- In a very interesting development, a company managed
by Saudi Prince Mohammed bin Salman invited SEPC to do business in Saudi Arabia. In April 2023, Roshn Real Estate Company,
Riyadh, invited SEPC to participate in a contractor’s framework
infrastructure. The contractor’s framework infrastructure is to develop strategic framework agreements with select key partners to
achieve successful completion of projects due to the scale, number and timing of the projects. Roshn Real Estate Company is a
national real estate developer powered by the Public Investment
Fund, committed to delivering high quality communities to Saudi
citizens.
- Real estate developer Roshn has quickly established a reputation as a change agent in the Saudi Arabian real estate industry.
Roshn was founded with the mission of improving the quality of life
for locals and aspires to build thriving, sustainable communities. As
a division of the Public Investment Fund (PIF), Roshn has access to
the substantial resources and assistance of one of the biggest sovereign wealth funds in the area, enabling it to take on challenging
projects that are consistent with the kingdom’s vision. Saudi Vision
2030 is an ambitious roadmap initiated by Crown Prince Mohammed
bin Salman in 2016. It’s designed to usher the Kingdom into a future
less dependent on oil revenues. Housing is a key component of this
forward-looking strategy, alongside other vital sectors like entertainment and tourism. Housing, within the context of Saudi Vision 2030,
isn’t just about construction — it’s about bolstering economic prosperity, societal stability and an enhanced standard of living. The ambitious target is to uplift home ownership from 47% to a staggering
70% by the end of this transformative decade.
In FY 2024, we expect the company to register sales EPS of
Rs -0.5 and EPS of Rs 0.9 for FY 2025. As on November 20,
2023 the share price closed at Rs 232.75 (available cum rights in
the ratio of 1:36 at a premium of Rs 3). P/E on the FY 2025 EPS
works out to 22.3.
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
Year
|
Net Series
|
Net Profit
|
EPS (Rs.)
|
Div (%)
|
BV (%)
|
2022-23
|
378.84
|
-4.90
|
-2.7
|
0
|
8.2
|
2023-24 (E)
|
400.28
|
-77.41
|
-0.5
|
0
|
7.7
|
2024-25 (E)
|
864.22
|
139.65
|
1
|
0
|
8.6
|