Portfolio Choice     

Published: February 15, 2024
Updated: February 15, 2024

PSP PROJECTS
BSE ticker code 540544
NSE ticker code PSPPROJECT
Major activity Civil Construction
Chairman Prahaladbhai Shivrambhai Patel
Equity capital Rs 36 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 946 / Rs 652
CMP Rs 741
Market Capitalisation Rs 2675.52 crore
Recommendation Buy
Straddling the construction chain: Confident of double-digit EBIDTA

Ahmedabad-headquartered PSP Projects is a multidisciplinary, integrated engineering, procurement construction (EPC) company providing services across the construction value chain. It offers a diversified range of construction and allied services across industrial, institutional, governmental, governmentresidential and residential projects, and has an immaculate track record of completing each project on time without compromising on quality.

The company has been constantly improving its credentials under the aegis of Prahlad Patel, a farsighted first- generation entrepreneur, by constructing iconic projects across India. It is responsible for constructing the Surat Diamond Bourse, which now qualifies as the largest office building globally, having a contract value of Rs 1,575 crore spread over 6.6 million sq ft of built-up area.

As a result, the company is now pre-qualified to bid for a single project up to Rs 2,500 crore. In addition, PSP Projects is anticipated to benefit significantly from the current infrastructure push by the Centre. The management is confident that the superior execution capabilities and financial prudence that it has demonstrated so far will continue to make sure that the business attracts good-quality growth while maintaining EBITDA margins in the range of 11.13 per cent.

TOP AWARDS

The company was recently bestowed the ‘Contractor of the Year’ award for the Rs 500 crore-or-above projects category as well as the ‘Excellence in Construction Sector’ award for the project ‘Development of Shri Kashi Vishwanath Dham’ by the Gujarat Contractors Association and Vibrant Summit, 2023. PSP has gone from strength to strength on the financial front. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover has expanded almost 11 times from Rs 179 crore in fiscal 2012 to Rs 1,927 crore in fiscal 2023, with operating profit shooting up almost 15 times from Rs 15 crore to Rs 228 crore and the profit at net level surging ahead over 20 times from Rs 8 crore to Rs 133 crore. What is more, the prospects ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

  • The fast-growing stature of the company and the tremendous government thrust on infrastructure development, coupled with the prudence and rich experience of the management, are expected to bring significant growth while maintaining healthy profitability in the future. Going ahead, the management expects a 25.30 per cent revenue growth and EBITDA margins to be in the range of 11-13 per cent in fiscals 2024 and 2025. The company has a robust order book and order execution is on a fast track. As of September 30, 2023, the outstanding order book was to the tune of Rs 4,898 crore, a marginal decline of 4% on a yoy basis on account of faster execution and completion of ongoing projects in comparison to order inflow. Out of the outstanding order book, the private projects comprised 48% while government projects comprised 52%. As of September 30, 2023, there are 54 ongoing projects, 83% of which are in based in Gujarat, and 17% in UP. Till date, the company has completed 212 projects in total since inception, with 84% of them private projects and the balance government projects. The current order book reflects two and a half years’ revenue visibility.

BUMPER ORDERS

  • During the first half year, the company received an order inflow to the tune of Rs 934 crore, excluding GST. During H1 of the past five years, the average order inflow received by PSP Projects has been to the tune of Rs 710 crore, except for H1FY23 where the order inflow was in excess of Rs 1,500 crore. In addition, considering the recent orders received, the order inflow as of date stands at Rs 958.62 crore. The management maintains its guidance on the expected order inflow of nearly Rs 3,000 crore in FY24, considering the robust bid book in place.

  • Revenue from operations for Q2FY2024 is at Rs 607 crore vs Rs 357 crore, up 70 % yoy. EBITDA jumped by a whopping 91% to Rs 74 crore. The EBIDTA margin stood at 12.15% against 10.83% and net profit jumped 71% to Rs 39 crore. The PAT margin stood at 6.4% against 6.3%. The improvement in revenue is a mix of higher execution of ongoing projects and UP projects being in an advanced stage of completion. During the first half-year, PSP has incurred capex of Rs 97 crore, out of which Rs 51 crore is for precast facilities. The management expects a reduction in short-term borrowing from the current Rs 377 crore to Rs 50-Rs 100 crore by the end of FY24.

  • The company has a strong bidding pipeline of over Rs 6,500 crore, plus the Delhi railway project worth Rs 4,800 crore, making the total pipeline over Rs 11,000 crore. The company aims to win projects worth Rs 3,000 crore in FY24. Some important projects in the bidding pipeline are AIIMS in Rewari (Rs 1,000 crore), museums in MP (Rs 1,000 crore), a university in Surat (Rs 775 crore) and a project worth Rs 575 crore in UP

INFRA HORIZON

As per the latest statistics, the Indian economy is expected to double in the next seven years, with infrastructure spend set to double from an estimated of Rs 66.7 lakh crore between fiscal years 2017 and 2023 to Rs 142.9 lakh crore between fiscal years 2024 and 2030. During the recent visit of Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Gujarat, he announced and laid the foundation stone for projects worth Rs 6,909 crore, to be utilized towards railways and urban infrastructure, smart cities, tourism, etc. Thus, there is an immense opportunity for the growth of the company in the future. In FY 2024, we expect PSP Projects to register EPS of Rs 52.6, which is expected to rise to Rs 70.1 in FY 2025 and Rs 90.7 in FY 2026. The scrip trades at Rs 741. P/E on the FY 2026 projected EPS works out to just 20.3, with a P/ BV of just 1.75x.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2022-23 1937.81 131.94 36.7 5.00 222.50
2023-24 (E) 2736.88 189.27 52.6 2.50 272.59
2024-25 (E) 3459.39 252.48 70.1 5.00 337.61
2025-26 (E) 4303.49 326.45 90.7 7.00 422.29
INDUS TOWERS
BSE ticker code 534816
NSE ticker code INDUSTOWER
Major activity Telecom – Infrastructure
Chairman N Kumar
Equity capital Rs 2694.9 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 230 / Rs 135
CMP Rs 218
Market Capitalisation Rs 58,884.37 crore
Recommendation Buy
‘Towering’ enabler of telecom

Gurugram (Haryana)-headquartered Indus Towers is one of the largest telecom tower companies in the world. A provider of telecom infrastructure, the company deploys, owns and manages telecom towers and communication structures for various mobile operations. Formed by the merger of Bharti Infratel Ltd and Indus Towers, the company enables communication for millions of people daily and provides affordable, high-quality and reliable services for the growing network connectivity needs of India.

Today, it has 211,775 towers and 360,679 locations (as on December 31, 2023), and a nationwide presence covering all 22 telecom circles. The company’s leading customers include Bharti Airtel, Vodafone Idea Ltd and Reliance Jio Infocomm, which are the leading wireless communications service providers in India. The company deploys the passive physical infrastructure necessary to house the active equipment — the base transceiver station, transmission link and microwave antenna — of its customers.

Indus Towers has made rapid strides in its financial performance. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover has more than trebled from Rs 9,452 crore in fiscal 2012 to Rs 28,382 crore in fiscal 2023, with operating profit almost trebling from Rs 3,540 crore to Rs 9,669 crore and the profit at net level trebling from Rs 749 crore to Rs 2,236 crore. What is more, prospects for the company going ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

  • Indus Towers is a big beneficiary of the government’s commitment to facilitating the swift rollout of telecom infrastructure across the nation.
GREEN POLICY

  • New Delhi has remained steadfast in its commitment to facilitate the swift rollout of telecom infrastructure across the nation, while keeping sustainability in view. To this end, the Ministry of Power has notified the Green Open Access policy and a few states have already adopted it with minor amendments. The government is also engaged in discussions with multiple stakeholders for faster implementation of Green Open Access at the ground level. These steps, aimed at incentivizing the use of cleaner sources of energy, reiterate the government’s focus on infrastructure expansion in a sustainable way. This will benefit Indus a lot.

  • The arrival of 5G in India will prove a boon to Indus. With regards to 5G, rollouts by the top two operators continue to progress at a swift pace with these operators now catering to over 50 million 5G customers each. The total number of 5G base transceiver stations, or BTS, deployed stands at almost 340,000, with more than 7,000 BTS being deployed per week in August. The company’s loading revenues have continued to increase in lieu of this accelerated deployment of 5G on its sites. As the network matures, the management expects the demand for new sites to increase in order to aid network decongestion. This bodes well for the company, given its leadership position in the passive infrastructure space. Statistics mentioned in the Ericsson Mobility Report reaffirm the growth potential of 5G. As per the report, global 5G subscription grew by 175 million in the June quarter, compared to 125 million additions in the March quarter, and have reached almost 1.3 billion. The 5 billion mark is expected to be reached by the end of 2028, with 5G subscriptions in India also expected to reach 700 million by the same time. Also, the emergence of use cases of 5G, such as the launch of fixed wireless access, or FWA, by major operators will also drive data consumption, which will need infrastructure.

ADDING TOWERS

  • The record addition of towers during the first two quarters of FY2024 will give a big boost to the company’s performance. In Q2, the company surpassed its tower addition reported in Q1. It managed to achieve this despite the harsh weather conditions usually witnessed during this time of the year. Driven by continued strong demand from one of its customers, it added 5,928 macro towers and 5,583 cor responding co-locations. The total macro towers and colocations at the end of Q2 stood at 204,212 and 353,462 respectively, which represented a significant milestone for Indus Tower when it crossed 200,000 macro towers, with each growing by 8.7% and 4.5% on a year-on-year basis. Its industry-leading tenancy ratio stands at 1.73. The addition of co-locations on leaner towers remained healthy at 789 in Q2, and the overall base increased to 8,643 co-locations. Including leaner towers, its net co-location additions were at 6,372 in Q2 as against 5,984 in Q1.

COST CUTTING

  • The company has resorted to a strategy of cost reduction, which will push up the bottomline. On cost efficiency, it continues to take steps towards optimizing both operating and capital expenses. It has been consistently reducing diesel consumption and recorded an 8% year-on-year reduction in Q2. Such a significant reduction was achieved despite an increase in overall energy load from the addition of new sites and 5G equipment. In Q2, the company signed an agreement with IOC Phinergy to deploy clean energy systems. It has agreed to deploy 300 zero emission energy systems based on aluminum-air technology to optimize diesel consumption at its telecom tower sites. It has also added more than 2,200 solar sites during the quarter and continued to convert tower sites from indoor to outdoor, which aided the overall energy cost optimization. A sharp focus on reducing the rental cost per tower through negotiations, site selection and product selection to minimize its footprint has also yielded positive results. On capex, its initiatives are directed towards driving cost efficiencies across processes, including designing, procurement, and erection through use of automation and digital interventions. This has helped it build towers that are cost- competitive. In FY 2025, the company is expected to report EPS of Rs 20.7 The scrip trades at Rs 218. P/E on the FY 2025 projected EPS works out to just 10.5. Added to this, the company is expected to provide a hefty dividend of Rs 20 per share to its shareholders in FY 2024, which gives a dividend yield of 9.2%. 

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2022-23 28381.80 2020 7.50 0.00 78.33
2023-24 (E) 27239.66 4864.65 18.10 200 76.38
2024-25 (E) 29963.62 5569.24 20.70 110 86.05
PIRAMAL PHARMA
BSE ticker code 543635
NSE ticker code PPLPHARMA
Major activity Pharmaceuticals
Chairperson Nandini Piramal
Equity capital Rs crore; FV Rs
52 week high/low Rs 148.55 / Rs 61.68
CMP Rs 144
Market Capitalisation Rs 19004.15 crore
Recommendation Buy
Turning the corner in H1FY2024

Piramal Pharma (PPL), belonging to the Ajay Piramal group, is a unique pharmaceutical company offering a portfolio of differentiated products and services through end-to-end manufacturing capabilities across 15 global facilities and a global distribution network in ovThe company includes: (a) Piramal Pharma Solutions (PPS). An integrated contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO), PPL offers contract manufacturing for API, APAPI, and a wide variety of dosaged forms; (b) Piramal Critical Care (PCC), a complex hospital Generics Business, and (c) the India Consumer Healthcare Business (ICHB) selling over-the-counter products.

PPS offers end-to-end development and manufacturing solutions through a globally integrated network of facilities across the drug life cycle to innovators and generic companies. PCC’s complex hospital product portfolio includes inhalation anaesthetics, intrathecal therapies for spasticity and pain management, injectable anaesthetics, injectable anti-infectives, and other therapies. The India Consumer Healthcare Business is among the leading players in India in the self-care space, with established brands in the Indian consumer healthcare market. In addition, PPL has a joint venture with Allergan, a leader in ophthalmology in the Indian formulations market. In October 2020, the company received a growth equity investment from the Carlyle group.

The company, which came into existence three years ago, has started steadily expanding its business. During the last 3 years, its sales turnover has moved up from Rs 6,315 crore in fiscal 2021 to Rs 7,082 crore in fiscal 2023. However, fiscal 2023 was a challenging year marked by rising interest rates, geopolitical uncertainties, post-pandemic demand, supply volatility and a significant rise in energy prices. External factors significantly influenced PPL’s financial performance, adversely affecting profitability. The company’s operating profit declined from Rs 1,428 crore in fiscal 2021 to Rs 950 crore in fiscal 2022 and further to Rs 629 crore in fiscal 2023.

However, the worst is over. After the challenging fiscals 2022 and 2023, fiscal 2024 has been ushered in on a promising note. Signalling recovery and a turnaround for the business, sales during the first half (April to September 2023) grew 14 per cent yoy, driven by broad- based performances across all the three businesses, and the EBITDA margin shot up 58 per cent, driven by healthy revenue growth and cost optimization measures. In the meanwhile, the company successfully completed its Rs 1,050-crore rights issue, which was subscribed 128 per cent. The proceeds of the issue enabled the company to reduce its net debt by Rs 958 crore since March 31, 2023 to Rs 3,823 crore by September 2023. Prospects for the company going ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

  • During the first half of the current fiscal, the company saw a steady momentum for the overall business. During Q2 FY2024, it has won new orders amounting to Rs 1084 crore. This will push up the pace of business in the second half of the current fiscal.

  • Maintaining that with the H1FY2024 performance the company has turned the corner, Ms Nandini Piramal, chairperson of PPL, adds, “Our CDMO business returned to mid-term growth with continued order inflows, especially for differentiated offerings and innovation-related work. Our capacity expansion for inhalation anesthesia products is progressing well as we look to capitalize on the healthy demand in the global market. Our India consumer healthcare business is delivering steady growth via our power brands. Historically, our H2 has been better both in terms of revenue and profitability. We hope to continue our momentum in H2FY2024 and fiscal year 2024 with a robust performance.”
  • Remarkable order inflows continued in CDMO during Q2FY2024 with over 40 per cent higher orders in H1FY2024 as compared to the same period a year ago.
  • The company is consolidating CDMO partners through acquisition of Hemmo Pharmaceuticals (Rs 775 crore), a 27.78% stake in Yapan Bio (Rs 101.7 crore) and a JV with Allergan.
  • The company’s focus on power brands and the e-commerce route for marketing is expected to fuel growth in the ICH segment.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Series Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2022-23 7081.55 -186.46 -1.4 NIL 56.76
2023-24 (E) 7973.83 191.34 1.4 NIL 58.21
2024-25 (E) 8978.54 544.88 4.1 NIL 62.32

February 15, 2025 - First Issue

Industry Review

VOL XVI - 10
February 01-15, 2025

Formerly Fortune India Managing Editor Deven Malkan Assistant Editor A.K. Batha President Bhupendra Shah Circulation Executive Warren Sequeira Art Director Prakash S. Acharekar Graphic Designer Madhukar Thakur Investment Analysis CI Research Bureau Anvicon Research DD Research Bureau Manager (Special Projects) Bhagwan Bhosale Editorial Associates New Delhi Ranjana Arora Bureau Chief Kolkata Anirbahn Chawdhory Gujarat Pranav Brahmbhatt Bureau Cheif Mobile: 098251-49108 Bangalore Jaya Padmanabhan Bureau Chief Chennai S Gururajan Bureau Chief (Tamil Nadu) Ludhiana Ajitkumar Vijh Bhubaneshwar Braja Bandhu Behera

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