Portfolio Choice     

Published: May 31, 2024
Updated: May 31, 2024

TATA COMMUNICATIONS
BSE ticker code TATACOMM
NSE ticker code 500483
Major activity Telecom - Cellular & Fixed line Services
Managing Diretor and CEO A.S.Lakshminarayanan
Equity capital Rs 285 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 2085 / Rs 1235
CMP Rs 1834
Market Capitalisation Rs 52,256.18 crore
Recommendation Buy
Targets Rs 28k cr data revenue by FY27

Tata Communications enables the digital transformation of enterprises globally, including 300 of the Fortune 500 – unlocking opportunities for businesses by enabling borderless growth, boosting product innovation and customer experience, improving productivity and efficiency, building agility and managing risk.

With its solutions-oriented approach, proven managed service capabilities and cutting-edge infrastructure, Tata Communications drives the next level of intelligence powered by cloud, mobility, Internet of Things (IoT), collaboration, security and network services. The company carries around 30% of the world’s internet routes, and connects businesses to 80% of the world’s cloud giants and 4 out of 5 mobile subscribers. The company’s capabilities are underpinned by its global network, the world’s largest wholly- owned subsea fibre backbone and a Tier-1 IP network with connectivity to 190+ countries and territories around the world.

The company has fared very well so far. During the last 12 years, its sale turnover has advanced from Rs 17,213 crore in fiscal 2024 with operating profit more than doubling from Rs 2,040 crore to Rs 4,230 crore and net profit inching up from Rs 651 crore to Rs 970 crore. Prospects for the company going ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

  • In FY 2024, sales grew 18% to Rs 20,968.82 crore. PAT grew 27% to Rs 1,180.62 crore.
  • During the quarter ended March 2024, sales grew 25% to Rs 5,691.7 crore. PAT fell 1.5% to Rs 321.2 crore.
  • KEY FOCUS
  • Enterprise business revenue grew organically in double digits and remains the key focus area for the company. The Enterprise business order book remains healthy and provides visibility of continued growth in the segment. The India enterprise business has grown at ~13% YoY while the overall India business has struggled to grow in the midsingle digit
  • Tata Communications has joined hands with technology giant CISCO to launch Webex calling for enterprises in India. The Webex Calling Solution will help SMEs migrate from on-promise phone systems to a global cloud calling system. This is a $ 400 million calling market. Tata Communications and CISCO have jointly decided to tap India’s calling market, comprising cloud and on-promise, estimated at around $ 400 million and growing at a CAGR of 12 per cent
  • New acquisitions Switch and Kaleyra have a higher contribution of usage-based revenue, and therefore higher seasonality and cyclicality vs the existing business. Usage-based revenue also does not reflect in the order book, which means the company’s revenue should grow faster than the order book.
  • The company has not shared details on the planned launch of AI-based cloud services where it has a partnership with NVIDIA. However, it expects to launch its product in FY25, and sees significant demand for these services.

PARING DEBT

  • The company’s financial position is improving very fast. During the last four years, it has substantially repaid debt and its borrowings have been drastically reduced from Rs 12,413 crore in fiscal 2020 to Rs 8,577 crore in fiscal 2023.
  • The company sees near-term challenges to revenue growth, but remains confident of achieving Rs 28,000 crore in data revenue by FY27. Data revenue is the key driver of revenue growth (82% of revenue/EBITDA). The company has significantly invested in product expansion, being relevant to customers, and foot-on-the-street. In FY 2025, we expect the company to register EPS of Rs 49.3, which is likely to rise to 84.7 in FY 2026. The scrip trades at Rs 1,834. P/E on FY 2026 EPS works out to 21.7.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2023-24 20968.82 1180.62 41.4 20.7 62.8
2024-25 (E) 24389.45 1404.88 49.3 21.0 83.23
2025-26 (E) 27896.89 2412.63 84.7 30.0 137.88
NUVOCO VISTAS CORPORATION
BSE ticker code NUVOCO
NSE ticker code 543334
Major activity Cement & Cement Products
Chairman Hiren Patel
Equity capital Rs 357.16 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 399 / Rs 292
CMP Rs 313
Market Capitalisation Rs 11,189.70 crore
Recommendation Buy
Rising star in cement firmament

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation (NVPL) is the fifth largest cement group in India and one of the leading players in East India in terms of capacity. Its businesses consist of cement, ready-mix concrete and modern building materials, which include a range of over 60 products which meet the needs of individual home builders and institutional infrastructure developers.

Nuvoco provides best-in-class cement products such as Concreto, Duraguard, Double Bull, Premium Slag Cement, Nirmax and Infracem. It has 11 cement plants across 7 states with a total capacity of 25 million tonnes per annum (mtpa). Over the last five years, it has been doubling its installed capacity and establishing itself as one of the fastestgrowing cement companies in the country. It operates 56 ready-mix concrete plants across India.

Operations of the company are spread across West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Delhi and Odisha. Niyogi Enterprise Private Limited and promoters of the Nirma group hold about 71.8% in NVCL post-IPO and Nu Vista Limited is a 100% subsidiary of NVCL.

ACQUISITION GAIN

The company is doing quite well on the financial front. What is more, its prospects going ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

  • It has a strong market position following acquisition of Nu Vista Limited (NVL). NVCL on its own was operating at a very high capacity utilization. With the acquisition of NVL, it increased its installed capacity (NVCL+ NVL) and has become a leading player in the eastern region. Following the acquisition, the market position of NVCL has improved, with overall capacity of 25 mtpa across plants in Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar, Odisha, Rajasthan and West Bengal. The presence of the split grinding units of Nu Vista Limited across the eastern states and an integrated unit in Chhattisgarh complements the plants of NVCL in the eastern region.
  • Furthermore, in the northern region, NVCL has an integrated plant in Chittorgarh (Rajasthan), a split blending unit in Haryana and an integrated unit in Nimbol (Rajasthan). These units will benefit from synergies, including rationalization of the marketing network and cost savings because of the ramp-up in the scale of operations.
  • NVCL has its own captive limestone mines and clinker capacity, and has set up captive power plants and waste heat recovery systems across various plants. The established market position is supported by strong brands, such as Duraguard, Double Bull, Concreto and Infracem, and an extensive network of dealers and sub-dealers of NVCL and NVL. A strong brand equity provides the ability to command a premium for products. With the acquisition, NVCL got access to adequate limestone reserves, which will benefit its business over the medium term. The presence of grinding units in key states will help in product optimization as well as increase market reach over the medium term. Softening input costs will improve profitability going forward.
  • CAPTIVE POWER
  • NVCL has been setting up a thermal and waste heat recovery-based power capacity over the past few years; its total power plant capacity stood at 196.2 MW (44.7 MW waste heat recovery systems, 1.5 MW solar power and 150 MW CPP). Post this, the company’s 60%-70% power requirements could potentially be met by captive sources, leading to cost saving

In FY 2024, sales grew 1% to Rs 10,732.9 crore. PAT was up 829% to Rs 147.37 crore.

In FY 2025, we expect the company to register EPS of Rs 8.8, which is likely to rise to 11.2 in FY 2026. The scrip trades at Rs 170. P/E on FY 2026 EPS works out to 15.1.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2023-24 10732.91 147.37 4.1 0.00 251.5
2024-25 (E) 11632,98 411.08 11.5 0.00 263.01
2025-26 (E) 12675.44 622.89 17.4 5.00 279.95
PARAG MILK FOODS
BSE ticker code 539889
NSE ticker code PARAGMILK
Major activity Dairy Products
Chairman Devendra Shah
Equity capital Rs 119.2 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 290 / Rs 99
CMP Rs 170
Market Capitalisation Rs 2,030.58 crore
Recommendation Buy
Dairy queen of private sector

Parag Milk Foods, the largest private dairy FMCG company in India, is a leading manufacturer and marketer of dairybased branded products in India

The company has three state-of-the-art manufacturing plants at Manchar in Maharashtra, Palamaner in Andhra Pradesh, and Sonipat in Haryana. It has a milk processing capacity of 3.4 million litres/day, a whey processing capacity of 12 lakh litres/day, a ghee & cheese processing capacity of 140 mt/day, a lactose processing capacity of 40 mt/day and a paneer processing capacity of 20 mt/day.

The company manufactures and sells milk and milk-based products under famous brand names such as Gowardhan, Go, Topp Up, Avvatar and Pride of Cows. Its product portfolio includes ghee, fresh milk, skim milk powder, whole milk powder, paneer, an array of processed and natural cheese, cheese spreads.

BOOMING SALES

Parag is steadily growing in its financial performance. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover has expanded more than three times – from Rs 925 crore in fiscal 2013 to Rs 1,339 crore, with operating profit inching up from Rs 83 crore to Rs 197 crore and the profit at net level shooting up more than four times from Rs 21 crore to Rs 91 crore. What is more, prospects for the company going ahead are all the more promising. Consider

  • Along with catering to domestic needs, the company supply its products to 20+ countries. Its flagship brand, Gowardhan Ghee, has more than a 20% marketshare in the cow ghee category and its young and fun-loving brand, Go cheese, has more than a 35% marketshare.
  • The company has a substantial distribution network of over 5 lakh retail touchpoints, 6200+ distributors, 600+ super stockists, and 29 depots spread across India. Additionally, it has developed strong partnerships with more than 5 lakh farmers worldwide and receives 100% cow milk from important milk belts
  • Rural consumers often rely heavily on dairy products, making them a key growth driver for the company. During the quarter ended March 2024, rural demand outpaced urban markets for fast moving consumer goods for the first time in five quarters, signaling a turnaround after 15 months of sluggish demand.
  • RURAL THIRST
  • As per NielsenIQ, the FMCG sector grew 6.6% YoY by value led by rural consumption during the quarter ended March 2024. In FY25, rural demand is expected to further improve, driven by a robust rabi crop, a bumper wheat crop and government measures like an increase in MSP and higher spending on MNREGA. This augur wells for the company, given its strategy to expand its reach in rural areas.
  • Amidst the buoyant Indian economy, the dairy industry is experiencing a boom driven by changing consumer preferences, technological advancements and the introduction of innovative value-added products. Moreover, the shift from an unorganized sector to an organized sector, and the rising consumption of products should further augment industry growth.
  • To capitalize on this growing demand, Parag is strengthening its presence in backend operations. The company has implemented backward integration through its Bhagyalaxmi dairy farm, which serves as the foundation for the premium offerings sold under the brand ‘Pride of Cows’

MILKY DREAMS

The company aims to expand its milk production capacity to 140,000 litres in the future, accompanied by a cattle capacity of approximately 15,000. Consumer demand is growing rapidly and the company is geared to meet this rising demand.

n FY, 2024 sales grew 9% to Rs 3,138.70 crore. PAT was up 70% to Rs 90.58 crore. In FY 2025, we expect the company to register EPS of Rs 8.8, which is likely to rise to 11.2 in FY 2026. The scrip trades at Rs 170. P/E on FY 2026 EPS works out to 15.1

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Series Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2023-24 3138.71 90.58 7.6 5.00 76.51
2024-25 (E) 3612.09 104.38 8.8 5.00 84.76
2025-26 (E) 4169.54 133.76 11.2 5.00 95.48

February 15, 2025 - First Issue

Industry Review

VOL XVI - 10
February 01-15, 2025

Formerly Fortune India Managing Editor Deven Malkan Assistant Editor A.K. Batha President Bhupendra Shah Circulation Executive Warren Sequeira Art Director Prakash S. Acharekar Graphic Designer Madhukar Thakur Investment Analysis CI Research Bureau Anvicon Research DD Research Bureau Manager (Special Projects) Bhagwan Bhosale Editorial Associates New Delhi Ranjana Arora Bureau Chief Kolkata Anirbahn Chawdhory Gujarat Pranav Brahmbhatt Bureau Cheif Mobile: 098251-49108 Bangalore Jaya Padmanabhan Bureau Chief Chennai S Gururajan Bureau Chief (Tamil Nadu) Ludhiana Ajitkumar Vijh Bhubaneshwar Braja Bandhu Behera

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