Portfolio Choice     

Published: November 30, 2024
Updated: November 30, 2024

TEJAS NETWORKS
BSE ticker code 540595
NSE ticker code TEJASNET
Major activity Telecom - Equipment & Accessories
CMD Anand Athreya
Equity capital Rs 174.53 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 1495 / Rs 652
CMP Rs 1280
Market Capitalisation Rs 21915.36 crore
Recommendation Buy
Riding domestic network demand

Tejas Networks, now belonging to the house of the Tatas, is a wireless and wireless telecom and data networking products company which designs, develops and manufactures products for building high-speed communication networks that carry voice, data and video traffic from fixed line, mobile and broadband networks. The company is reputed for technology differentiation, innovative software-defined hardware providing time to market, and cost advantage award-winning products.

Its products include xPon-based fiber broadband access, OTN/ DWDM, carrier ethernet routing & switching, and network management. Its services include customer services, build services, managed services, consultancy services and nurture services. Its customers include telecommunications service providers, Internet service providers, web-scale Internet companies, utility companies, defence companies and government entities. The company also exports its products overseas.

Tejas has made rapid strides on the financial front. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover has expanded around seven times from Rs 369 crore in fiscal 2013 to Rs 2,471 crore in fiscal 2024, with operating profit spurting over five and a half times from Rs 47 crore to Rs 266 crore, and net profit shooting up from a loss of Rs 79 crore to a net profit of Rs 63 crore. What is more, prospects going ahead are all the more promising. Consider:

CLIENTS GALORE

Tejas Networks has scored on revenue and margin estimates of analysts led by BSNL’s 4G project execution. The company benefits chiefly from: 1) The GoI’s emphasis on domestic manufacturing and the PLI scheme; 2) Large spends on BSNL, BharatNet and the Railways; 3) References from TCom and TCS, thus adding new clients; and 4) The global move towards replacing Chinese telecom equipment. It is expected that the FY25 revenue will be 4 times the FY24 revenue on BSNL and BharatNet execution. Revenue is expected to go up for FY25E/FY26E and the EBITDA margin is also likely to shoot up by 150-10bps.

  • From a wireline business perspective, it has been selected for PTN and DWDM equipment from one of the Tier 1 telcos in India for capacity expansion of the 4G/5G mobile network. It has seen continuing success in the critical infrastructure segment in India, and has been selected by a leading state power utility company for its captive SCADA network, and also been selected for one of the Smart City projects in the country.
  • Tejas has emerged as a global leader in its field. In the international market, it is seeing good traction for GPON and WDM products, and has new customer wins in the Americas and in Africa. It received an initial order for a network modernization win in the US, which it reported in the last quarter. It has seen initial orders coming, which it will be supplying this quarter and hopes to follow up with additional wins in the US.
  • GROWTH FACTORS

    So, from a long-term business point of view, the management sees the outlook as being very positive on all the factors which are driving growth of traffic in the networks, and leading to traction for business. All of them continue to be positive and continue to show growth, whether it’s enterprise digital transformation, AI data centres, and long runway of 4G and 5G deployments, not only in India but also globally. And the backhaul networks for those as well.

  • Again, there are large investments happening in broadband connectivity throughout the world, including for digitalization of cities, Smart Cities, safe cities and applications such as these. The modernization of utility networks and the modernization of legacy TDMbased network infrastructure is a large opportunity as well. In FY25, we expect the company to register an EPS of Rs 40.9, which is likely to rise to Rs 60.5 in FY26. The scrip trades at Rs 1,280. P/E on the FY26 EPS works out to 21.2.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2023-24 2470.92 62.98 3.6 0.00 184.12
2024-25 (E) 8525.08 713.97 40.9 10.00 224.03
2025-26 (E) 11116.70 1055.45 60.5 20.00 282.50
CHAMBAL FERTILISERS AND CHEMICALS
BSE ticker code 500085
NSE ticker code CHAMBLFERT
Major activity Fertilizers
Chairman Abhay Baijal
Equity capital Rs 400.65 crore; FV Rs
52 week high/low Rs 575 / Rs 307
CMP Rs 464
Market Capitalisation Rs 18586.26 crore
Recommendation Buy
Piggybacking India’s agri demand

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals (CFCL), a KK Birla group company, is one of India’s leading fertiliser manufacturers with a domestic marketshare of 12% in urea, 13% in DAP, 2% in MOP and 2% in NPK. The company operates one of the largest urea plants in the country, with three plants located at Gadepan in Kota district of Rajasthan. Apart from urea, it is also engaged in the marketing of other fertilisers such as diammonium phosphate (DAP), Muriate of Potash (MOP), NPK (nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium) fertilisers, speciality plant nutrients and crop protection chemicals.

Its crop protection products include insecticides, fungicides and herbicides. It caters to the needs of the farmers in approximately 10 states in the northern, eastern, central and western regions of India, and is the fertilizer supplier in the states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana.

All the three urea manufacturing units of the company operated at optimal capacity in fiscal 2024 and production stood at 9.34 lakh tonnes against 9.08 lakh tonnes last year. Urea sale was 9.65 lakh tonnes against 8.38 lakh tonnes YoY. Subsidy receipts too continued to be timely, and it received Rs 4,713 crore in subsidy in Q2FY25.

The company has been performing very well on the financial front. During the last 12 years, its sales turnover has more than doubled from Rs 8,198 crore in fiscal 2013 to Rs 17,966 crore in fiscal 2024, with operating profit trebling from Rs 686 crore to Rs 2,047 crore and the net level spurting more than six times from Rs 212 crore to Rs 1,276 crore. Its financial position is also very strong, with reserves at the end of March 2024 standing at Rs 7,803 crore – over 19 times its equity capital of Rs 401 crore.

PRODUCT MIX

What is more, its prospects going forward are highly encouraging. Consider:

  • Chambal Fertilisers is focusing on the establishment of a TAN (technical ammonium nitrate) plant, with a capacity of approximately 2,40,000 mtpa. The decision to invest in this plant and the associated manufacturing of Weak Nitric Acid (WNA) is poised to reshape the company’s growth trajectory. The expansion into TAN diversifies the product portfolio, reducing reliance on existing products. The plant’s set-up contract has been given to L&T and will see it operationalizing by October 2025. Hence, a full year of backward integrated TAN facility will come by FY27, with revenue of Rs 1,000 crore for a full year.
  • LARGE PORFOLIO
  • The company’s strategy continues to focus on creating partnerships and alliances for introducing better chemistries and increasing the width of offerings in channels. Today, it has a CPC product portfolio of almost 62 products of distinct chemistries, covering fungicides, weedicides and insecticides. Geographic diversification has also been a part of this strategy and has been successfully executed.
  • The new focus area in the coming quarters will be to enter the hybrid and research variety seeds, which will substantially complete the company’s agri-input product profile.
  • PIVOTAL MOVE

    The company’s strong fundamentals, coupled with the positive tailwinds in the fertilizer industry, make CFCL an attractive investment option with the potential for robust returns. The strategic capex plan to establish a TAN plant and associated facilities represents a transformative move for the company. It not only augments production capacity but also positions the company as a key player in the TAN market, both domestically and globally. In FY25, we expect the company to register an EPS of Rs 43.0, which is likely to rise to Rs 53.5 in FY26. The scrip trades at Rs 464. The P/E on the FY26 EPS works out to 8.6.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Sales Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2023-24 17968.41 1275.75 31.8 75.00 177.84
2024-25 (E) 15154.04 1722.20 43.0 80.00 213.33
2025-26 (E) 17275.61 2144.83 53.5 85.00 258.63
MOIL
BSE ticker code 533286
NSE ticker code MOIL
Major activity Industrial Minerals
Chairman Ajit Kumar Saxena
Equity capital Rs 261.73 crore; FV Rs 10
52 week high/low Rs 588 / Rs 260
CMP Rs 295
Market Capitalisation Rs 2102.77 crore
Recommendation Buy
Hoping to turn the corner in profits

Formerly known as Manganese Ore (India) Ltd, MOIL Ltd is a mini-ratna public sector undertaking which operates its underground and opencast manganese mines located in the Nagpur and Bhandara districts of Maharashtra and Balaghat district of Madhya Pradesh. The Balaghat mine is the largest mine of the company, having reached a mining depth of about 435 metres from the surface. The Dongri Buzurg mine located in Bhandara district is an opencast mine that produces manganese dioxide ore used by the dry battery industry. This ore, in the form of manganous oxide, is used as a micro-nutrient for cattle feed and fertilisers.

Today, the company has 10 mines located in Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh and produces 53 per cent of the country’s total manganese ore. MOIL produces and markets four types of manganese ore: (a) high grade ore for production of ferro manganese; (b) medium grade ore for production of silico manganese; (c) blast furnace grade ore required for production of hot metal, and (d) dioxide for dry battery cells and chemical industries. About 95 per cent of the total production of the company is directly or indirectly used in the steel industry. The company also produces ferro manganese for the steel industry.

P.A.T. DECLINE

But MOIL’s financial performance has not been very satisfactory. Though sales turnover during the last 12 years improved from Rs 966 crore in fiscal 2013 to Rs 1,447 crore in the fiscal 2024, operating profit has more or less remained at the same level at Rs 478 crore in 2024 against Rs 435 crore in 2013, and the profit at net level has declined from Rs 432 crore to Rs 298 crore. However, prospects for the company going ahead are quite promising. Consider:

  • This year, MOIL has taken aggressive steps to push up production and sales. During the first seven months of the current fiscal ending March 2025, it has recorded a production of 1,097 lakh tonnes higher by 10 per cent over the corresponding period last year, and sales during these seven months (April to October 2024) have grossed 8.57 lakh tonnes. Production and sales spurted during this period mainly on account of a record, best-ever production of 1.7 lakh tonnes, suggesting a 32 per cent spurt over that in the corresponding October month last year. On the sales front also, the company has put up a bestever performance of marketing 1.06 lakh tonnes – higher by 21 per cent over that in October 2023. The management is confident that the trend witnessed during the first seven months of fiscal 2025 will be maintained, going ahead.
  • The company is looking for overseas acquisitions in regions including Africa (South Africa and Gabon), Australia and Latin American nations like Brazil, for expansion of manganese ore extraction operations. South Africa is said to have the largest manganese ore reserves globally, while Gabon has around 25 per cent of the world’s resources. Australia, on the other hand, is known to be a major exporter of manganese ore.
  • DOMESTIC J.V.s
  • At home, MOIL is working with different state governments for manganese ore mining. Critical minerals other than manganese is something that the company will also be looking at. It will also be entering into JVs with the Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh governments for manganese ore mining in these states. Exploration activities are being carried out in Chhattisgarh too.
  • According to the management, in Gujarat, nearly 9.5 million tonnes of manganese ore reserves have been identified and the company is in advanced discussions for a JV with the state government and Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd (GMDC). Production could start 12- 18 months post finalisation of the JV. In FY 2025, we expect the company to register an EPS of Rs 18.2, which is likely to rise to Rs 22.1 in FY 2026. The scrip trades at Rs 295. P/E on FY 2026 EPS works out to 13.3.

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)

Year Net Series Net Profit EPS (Rs.) Div (%) BV (%)
2023-24 1449.42 293.34 14.4 60.50 120.63
2024-25 (E) 1579.13 369.80 18.2 61.00 132.70
2025-26 (E) 1800.21 449.98 22.1 65.00 148.32

December 31, 2024 - Second Issue

Industry Review

VOL XVI - 08
December 16-31, 2024

Formerly Fortune India Managing Editor Deven Malkan Assistant Editor A.K. Batha President Bhupendra Shah Circulation Executive Warren Sequeira Art Director Prakash S. Acharekar Graphic Designer Madhukar Thakur Investment Analysis CI Research Bureau Anvicon Research DD Research Bureau Manager (Special Projects) Bhagwan Bhosale Editorial Associates New Delhi Ranjana Arora Bureau Chief Kolkata Anirbahn Chawdhory Gujarat Pranav Brahmbhatt Bureau Cheif Mobile: 098251-49108 Bangalore Jaya Padmanabhan Bureau Chief Chennai S Gururajan Bureau Chief (Tamil Nadu) Ludhiana Ajitkumar Vijh Bhubaneshwar Braja Bandhu Behera

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