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Published: June 18, 2024
Updated: June 18, 2024

Crucial Monsoon Alert: IMD Predicts Below-Normal Rainfall in June, Impacting Indian Economy

Overview of Rainfall Predictions

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted below-normal monsoon rainfall for June, which comes as unwelcome news amid the ongoing heatwave affecting large parts of India. While some regions are experiencing excessive rainfall, the overall average rainfall for June is expected to be below normal.

Current Rainfall Statistics

As of June 18, 2024, India has received 64.5 mm of rainfall, which is 20% less than the Long Period Average (LPA) of 80.6 mm. Out of the monitored subdivisions, 11 have reported normal to large excess rainfall, whereas 25 have experienced deficient to large deficient rainfall.

Regional Rainfall Distribution

The IMD has indicated that normal to above-normal monthly rainfall is likely in parts of the southern peninsula and certain areas of the Northeast. Conversely, many areas in Northwest and Central India, as well as some parts of the Northeast, are expected to receive below-normal rainfall.

Monsoon Progression

The Southwest Monsoon advanced into parts of the Nicobar Islands on May 19 and extended over most of southern and central Bay of Bengal by May 26, aided by Cyclone Remal. The monsoon reached Kerala and the Northeastern states on May 30, earlier than the normal onset dates. By June 12, the monsoon had progressed northward, covering entire states such as Kerala, Karnataka, Rayalaseema, Goa, and Telangana, most parts of South Maharashtra, South Chhattisgarh, and South Odisha, as well as Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, and the entire Northeastern states.

Importance of a Good Monsoon

A robust monsoon season is crucial for alleviating severe water crises in regions like Delhi, Maharashtra, and Haryana, which are facing rainfall scarcity. Moreover, the monsoon plays a vital role in India's economy, particularly in agriculture, making adequate rainfall essential for economic stability and growth.

IMD's forecast of below-normal rainfall for June highlights potential challenges for regions already dealing with heatwave conditions. Monitoring the monsoon's progress and regional rainfall patterns will be essential in addressing water scarcity issues and supporting India's economic needs.